Match Analysis: Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon
Game Overview
No. 6 Oregon Ducks (6-1, currently ranked) host the unranked Wisconsin Badgers (2-5) in a non-conference, late-October matchup. Oregon is a top-10 team with a dominant offense, while Wisconsin, once a perennial contender, is struggling in 2025 with a porous rush defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon is rolling, coming off a 56-10 blowout of Rutgers, averaging a high-powered 43+ PPG, and ranking 9th nationally in rushing. Wisconsin, meanwhile, averages just 18.4 PPG and just got shut out 34-0 by Ohio State. Their rush defense ranks 118th nationally, a nightmare matchup against Oregon's explosive ground game[1][3].
- No recent head-to-head meetings between these programs. Oregon has played a tougher schedule, with their only loss to Indiana (current No. 2); Wisconsin has suffered five losses, all to Power Five teams.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of current. Oregon QB Dante Moore and RB Noah Whittington are healthy and productive[3].
- Game is in Eugene (Autzen Stadium), where Oregon is especially tough at home. No major weather concerns expected.
- Oregon is fighting for a College Football Playoff spot; motivation is extremely high. Wisconsin is in a down year, little bowl upside, and could be prone to a letdown after a devastating loss to Ohio State.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon -20000 | Wisconsin +3500 | Oregon (moneyline) | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Oregon -31.5 (-110) | Wisconsin +31.5 (-110) | Oregon (cover -31.5) | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 43.5 (-115) | Under 43.5 (-105) | Over 43.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 43.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 43.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon dominates early and often. Expect the Ducks to cover a massive spread, with the total going over as their offense is unstoppable against Wisconsin's shaky defense.
Predicted Score: Oregon 48, Wisconsin 10