Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Arkansas Razorbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi
Game Overview
The Ole Miss Rebels (2-0, ranked #17) host the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-0) in an SEC matchup. Both teams are undefeated with solid offensive and defensive credentials. Ole Miss is favored by around 7 points with a total around 61.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ole Miss has shown efficiency on both sides with a solid 30-23 win over Kentucky, maintaining a balanced offense and reasonably good defense. Arkansas also enters undefeated with dominant recent wins (56-14 vs Arkansas State), strong running game averaging 257.5 rushing yards per game, and a QB with good passing efficiency (71.9%).
- Ole Miss has the edge in recent matchups and overall rankings, with the home advantage at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium favoring the Rebels.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that impact the starting lineup drastically, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
- Game played at home for Ole Miss, boosting confidence. No reported weather or external disruptions expected. Early season forms suggest momentum favors Ole Miss slightly.
- Both teams are motivated to maintain perfect records early in the season, but Ole Miss has more to protect as a ranked team and home favorite, increasing urgency for a strong performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ole Miss Rebels: -278, Arkansas Razorbacks: +225 | Ole Miss Rebels | β β β β β 73% |
Spread | Ole Miss Rebels: -7 -115, Arkansas Razorbacks: +7 -105 | Ole Miss Rebels -7 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over: 61.5 -108, Under: 61.5 -112 | Over 61.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ole Miss Rebels -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 61.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ole Miss Rebels to win on the moneyline, cover the -7 spread, and the game total to go over 61.5 points.
Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 35 – Arkansas Razorbacks 24