Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Arkansas Razorbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Vaught Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi
Game Overview
The Ole Miss Rebels host the Arkansas Razorbacks in a Southeastern Conference (SEC) matchup, marking their 72nd meeting. Both teams enter with undefeated 2-0 records. Ole Miss has a slight home-series advantage, while Arkansas leads the overall head-to-head. Arkansas is coming off a dominant 56-14 win featuring strong total offense, while Ole Miss is favored strongly by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas has shown explosive offense with 630 yards and a standout performance from QB Taylen Green. Ole Miss is 2-0 with strong home performances and solid defense. Both teams are undefeated, adding intensity to the matchup.
- Arkansas Razorbacks lead the all-time series 38-30-1, but Ole Miss leads 9-6 at home in Oxford. The rivalry is competitive with balanced historical outcomes.
- No current significant injury updates have been reported for either team affecting key starters or game outcome.
- The game is at Ole Miss's home stadium, which can provide a home field advantage and crowd support. The kickoff is on Saturday evening, maximizing fan attendance and media coverage on ESPN.
- Both teams are 2-0 starting strong and seek to maintain undefeated streaks early in the season. Ole Miss, as a home favorite, will be motivated to assert dominance in front of their fans, while Arkansas aims to continue its recent dominant offensive trend and historic series advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ole Miss Rebels: -278, Arkansas Razorbacks: +225 | Ole Miss Rebels | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Ole Miss Rebels: -7 at -115, Arkansas Razorbacks: +7 at -105 | Ole Miss Rebels -7 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 61.5: -108, Under 61.5: -112 | Over 61.5 points total | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ole Miss Rebels -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 61.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ole Miss is favored to win narrowly due to home advantage, stronger betting support, and better home historical performance, though Arkansas's high-powered offense makes an upset possible.
Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 34 – Arkansas Razorbacks 27