Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Troy Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, Virginia
Game Overview
This is a Sun Belt Conference matchup between Old Dominion Monarchs (6-3) and Troy Trojans (6-3), both with identical overall records but slightly different conference standings. Old Dominion is favored by bookmakers, with a consensus spread around -10.5 and a total set at 52.5 points. The game is scheduled for Thursday night, November 13, 2025, and will be broadcast on ESPN.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion has shown strong recent form, going 4-1 in their last five games and 4-1 against the spread. Their offense averages 31.9 points per game, ranking 55th nationally, while their defense allows 23.4 points per game, ranking 60th. Troy, on the other hand, has struggled in their last outing, losing 23-10 to Arkansas State. Their defense is solid, but their offense has been inconsistent, averaging 25.1 points per game according to ESPN projections.
- Recent head-to-head data is not available in the provided sources, but both teams have similar records and conference standings, suggesting a competitive matchup.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team in the provided sources.
- The game will be played at Old Dominion's home stadium, which could provide a slight advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no rain forecasted.
- Both teams are fighting for a strong finish in the Sun Belt Conference, with Old Dominion looking to solidify their position and Troy aiming to bounce back from their recent loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs: -450, Troy Trojans: 350 | Old Dominion Monarchs | โ โ โ โ โ 89% |
| Spread | Old Dominion Monarchs: -10.5 -115, Troy Trojans: 10.5 -105 | Old Dominion Monarchs to cover | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 | Under | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 52.5 15% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion is favored to win this game, with a high probability of covering the spread. The total points are expected to be close to the set line, but the game could lean towards the under due to Troy's recent defensive performance.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion 28, Troy 21