Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA
Game Overview
The matchup features the Old Dominion Monarchs (2-1) hosting the Liberty Flames (1-3). Old Dominion enters as a strong favorite at home with superior recent form and odds heavily favoring them across moneyline and spread markets. The total points line is set at 51.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion holds a better record (2-1) and is playing at home with positive momentum. Liberty struggles with a 1-3 record and poor recent ATS (against the spread) performance in September.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Old Dominion's home advantage and stronger record suggest they have the upper hand.
- No significant injury reports disclosed for either team, preserving expected starting lineups.
- Weather forecast at kickoff is warm (75Β°F), moderate rain (46%), and light wind (7 mph) β conditions slightly favoring a balanced but cautious game plan.
- Old Dominion motivated to maintain their winning record and capitalize on home advantage; Liberty aims to rebound from a poor start but faces an uphill battle.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs: -675, Liberty Flames: +490 | Old Dominion Monarchs | β β β β β 82% |
Spread | Old Dominion Monarchs -16.5: -108, Liberty Flames +16.5: -112 | Old Dominion Monarchs -16.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 51.5: -112, Under 51.5: -108 | Under 51.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion Monarchs to cover the -16.5 spread with a moderately high chance of victory, and total points predicted to stay under 51.5 due to Liberty's struggling offense and weather conditions.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 31, Liberty Flames 14