Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-19
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Game Overview
Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-1) host the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-2) in a non-conference NCAAF matchup. Oklahoma State is favored by double digits, reflecting recent struggles on offense yet defensive superiority and home-field advantage. Tulsa has a losing record and has shown weaknesses on offense but is capable of producing pass rush pressure.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oklahoma State lost heavily to Oregon 69-3 but historically has a more robust program and stronger defensive metrics. Tulsa lost to Navy 42-23 and has struggled to create explosive plays, particularly in the passing attack. Oklahoma State has difficulties creating quality offensive drives but benefits from a stronger schedule overall.
- No recent head-to-head results given, but Oklahoma Stateβs stronger conference pedigree and home game conditions give them advantage historically in similar matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups; both teams appear mostly healthy.
- Weather mild at 82Β°F, no rain expected, negligible windβneutral conditions for passing and running games. Home crowd support likely favors Oklahoma State.
- Oklahoma State aims to rebound after a heavy loss and secure a strong home performance early in the season. Tulsa seeks an upset to improve their disappointing start but may face morale challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -410, away: +315 | Oklahoma State | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Oklahoma State: -11.5 -110, Tulsa: +11.5 -110 | Tulsa +11.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over: 54.5 -105, under: 54.5 -115 | Over 54.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Oklahoma State Cowboys -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 54.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma State to win convincingly but with potential Tulsa cover on the spread. Expect an entertaining, moderately high-scoring game.
Predicted Score: Oklahoma State 33 – Tulsa 23