Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Game Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats enter with a 4-5 overall record and a more competitive 3-3 Big 12 conference record, playing at Oklahoma State's home field. Oklahoma State Cowboys have struggled significantly this season with a 1-8 record and a 0-6 conference record, suffering multiple heavy losses recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State has a moderate form with some recent wins, including a 42-17 win at Kansas and close losses, showing offensive capability and competitive defense. Oklahoma State has lost five straight games, many by large margins, and is 2-12 ATS in last 14 games, reflecting poor performance overall.
- Kansas State has generally dominated the matchup recently, reflected in a large moneyline favorite at -1350 and a heavy spread favoring Kansas State by 19.5 points, indicating historical and present superior strength.
- No significant injury reports available, suggesting rosters likely near full strength for both sides.
- The game is at Oklahoma State's home stadium; however, with the Cowboys' poor form and low motivation, home advantage appears limited in impact.
- Kansas State remains motivated to secure a crucial Big 12 win to improve bowl eligibility prospects, while Oklahoma State's poor season performance likely dampens morale and competitive urgency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas State Wildcats: -1350, Oklahoma State Cowboys: +810 | Kansas State Wildcats | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Kansas State Wildcats -19.5: -110, Oklahoma State Cowboys +19.5: -110 | Kansas State Wildcats -19.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5: -106, Under 51.5: -114 | Over 51.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma State Cowboys -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas State to win straight up, cover the 19.5-point spread, and the game total to go over 51.5 points.
Predicted Score: Kansas State Wildcats 42 – Oklahoma State Cowboys 16