Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Game Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats (4-5) will visit the Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-8) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Kansas State holds a clear advantage in both overall and conference records. Oklahoma State has struggled throughout the season, while Kansas State has a moderately competitive record and better statistical performance offensively and defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State averages 29.8 points per game (63rd nationally), allowing 27.7 points defensively. Oklahoma State struggles offensively with 15.2 points per game (132nd) and defensively allowing 38.8 points (135th), indicating significant defensive weaknesses. Kansas State forces turnovers more effectively (19 turnovers forced, 6th nationally) compared to Oklahoma State (8 forced, 109th).
- Historically, Oklahoma State leads at home against Kansas State with a 24-9 record in Stillwater, but recent season performance heavily favors Kansas State. The implied score from odds suggests a 36-16 win for Kansas State. Oklahoma State's home advantage is weakened by their poor season record.
- No current major injury reports or missing key players have been reported publicly for either team as of now.
- The game is played at Oklahoma State's home stadium, but the Cowboys' poor season reduces home field impact. Weather and other environmental factors are not reported as significant influences for this game day.
- Kansas State is motivated to improve their winning record and secure a solid conference standing, while Oklahoma State may look to salvage pride and end a difficult season with a win at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas State Wildcats: -1350, Oklahoma State Cowboys: 810 | Kansas State Wildcats to win | โ โ โ โ โ 93% |
| Spread | Kansas State Wildcats: -19.5 -110, Oklahoma State Cowboys: +19.5 -110 | Kansas State to cover -19.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 -106, Under: 51.5 -114 | Under 51.5 total points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas State Wildcats -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 22% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering Kansas State's superior season stats, effective turnover margin, larger point differential, and strong odds, they are heavily favored to win this game comfortably, likely covering the 19.5-point spread.
Predicted Score: Kansas State Wildcats 35 – Oklahoma State Cowboys 15