Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Texas A&M Aggies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
Game Overview
The No. 8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (0-1) host the No. 16 Texas A&M Aggies (2-0) in a key Week 3 NCAA football matchup. Notre Dame is favored by 6.5 points at home with a total set near 49.5 points, marking a pivotal test for both teams early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame lost narrowly to Miami 27-24, struggling in the run game and with turnovers, while Texas A&M is 2-0 but with wins over lesser opponents. Notre Dame's offense ranks 22nd nationally and defense 21st, indicating balanced strength. Texas A&M's offense showed power in recent wins, but the step up in competition is significant.
- This is the seventh meeting, with Notre Dame holding the edge historically and having beaten the Aggies 23-13 last year at Kyle Field. Texas A&M QB Connor Weigman struggled against Notre Dame last year, completing under 50% of passes and throwing two interceptions.
- No significant injuries reported impacting key starters on either side at this time, maintaining near full strength for both squads.
- Notre Dame enjoys a home-field advantage at the iconic Notre Dame Stadium with a large, passionate fanbase. Texas A&M faces a significant travel and hostile environment challenge. Weather conditions in South Bend in mid-September are typically mild, unlikely to impact the game significantly.
- Notre Dame is motivated to bounce back from a season-opening loss and prove their national top-10 ranking, especially at home. Texas A&M aims to validate their 2-0 start by upsetting a highly ranked opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Notre Dame -258, Texas A&M +210 | Notre Dame | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Notre Dame -6.5 (-115), Texas A&M +6.5 (-105) | Notre Dame -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 49.5 (-112), Under 49.5 (-108) | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win outright and cover the 6.5-point spread, with the game scoring under 49.5 points.
Predicted Score: Notre Dame 27 – Texas A&M 17