Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs NC State Wolfpack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
Game Overview
The No. 16 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-2) host the NC State Wolfpack (4-2) in a Week 7 matchup. Notre Dame is a dominant 22.5-point favorite and is coming off three consecutive wins with strong defensive and offensive performances. NC State has been inconsistent, recently showing vulnerability on defense despite a big offensive output in their last win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame averages 40.8 points and 461.6 yards per game, ranking in the top 20 nationally on offense, while allowing 23.6 points per game defensively. NC State has a 4-2 record but has given up over 200 rushing yards in recent losses and is less consistent on both sides of the ball.
- Notre Dame has won the last two meetings comfortably by around 21 points each, showing clear dominance historically over NC State.
- Notre Dame has several questionable players but key offensive contributors are healthy; NC State has a couple of questionable players but no major star absences.
- Weather conditions in South Bend at kickoff are mild and favorable for offense, around 67Β°F with slight cooling later and moderate humidity, unlikely to impact play significantly.
- Notre Dame is motivated to secure a College Football Playoff berth and maintain a high national ranking, while NC State is looking to prove themselves as a top-level opponent but is considered the underdog.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -2200, away: +1100 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | β β β β β 92% |
Spread | home: -110, away: -110 | Notre Dame -22.5 | β β β β β 88% |
Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 60.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 60.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 60.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame will win comfortably and cover the large spread, with the total points expected to stay under a high 60.5 line given their strong defense limiting NC State's scoring opportunities.
Predicted Score: Notre Dame 38 – NC State 12