Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Boise State Broncos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
Game Overview
No. 21 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-2) host the Boise State Broncos (3-1) in a Week 6 college football matchup featuring two high-powered offenses with Notre Dame as strong favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame averages 44.0 points per game (11th nationally) with a strong offensive yardage of 479.8 yards per game. Boise State averages 520 yards per game (9th nationally) and also scores at a high rate. Notre Dame's defense is weaker (allowing 27.8 PPG), while Boise State had a convincing 47-14 win in their last game.
- This is the first ever meeting between Notre Dame and Boise State, so no historical H2H data exists.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting skill positions or key defensive players on either side.
- The game is played at Notre Dame Stadium with home-field advantage favoring the Fighting Irish. Weather and travel conditions are expected to be neutral.
- Notre Dame aims to capitalize on a softer remaining schedule to build a strong playoff resume, making a dominant home win likely. Boise State seeks to upset a ranked opponent but as clear underdogs must overcome talent disparity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -1350, away: 800 | Notre Dame Moneyline | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Notre Dame: -20.5 -110, Boise State: +20.5 -110 | Notre Dame -20.5 | β β β β β 80% |
Over/under | Over: 62.5 -115, Under: 62.5 -105 | Over 62.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 683% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 62.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 683% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 85.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame -20.5 spread and Moneyline win, with the game going over 62.5 points
Predicted Score: Notre Dame 49, Boise State 18