Match Analysis: Northwestern Wildcats vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Ryan Field, Evanston, IL
Game Overview
The Northwestern Wildcats (2-2) host the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-1) at Ryan Field. Northwestern has struggled with consistency but benefits from home advantage and a strong defense, while UL Monroe has the better record but faces a tougher defensive unit.
Key Factors to Consider
- UL Monroe is 3-1, showing solid form early in the season. Northwestern is 2-2 with uneven performances and a defense that has limited scoring recently. Northwesternβs games have gone under the total consistently.
- Limited recent matchups, with no significant trends, but Northwestern typically controls the line defensively in home games against similar competition.
- No significant reported injuries affecting either starting offenses or defenses for this matchup.
- Home weather expected to be clear and mild with little wind, favoring the home teamβs passing game. No travel or scheduling concerns noted for either team.
- Northwestern motivated to avoid a losing streak and capitalize at home in a Big Ten environment, while UL Monroe aims to prove themselves against Power Five opposition and maintain their strong season start.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | northwestern: -460, ul_monroe: +360 | Northwestern Wildcats | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | northwestern: -10.5 -118, ul_monroe: +10.5 -104 | Northwestern Wildcats -10.5 | β β β β β 73% |
Over/under | over: 40.5 -110, under: 40.5 -110 | Under 40.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Northwestern Wildcats -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 40.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 40.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northwestern Wildcats to cover the -10.5 spread and win straight up with a low scoring game under the total of 40.5.
Predicted Score: Northwestern Wildcats 27 – UL Monroe Warhawks 10