Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Game Overview
Northern Illinois Huskies host San Diego State Aztecs in a tightly contested matchup with the Aztecs favored by a narrow margin on the road. Both teams have faced challenges in September, but San Diego State shows a stronger recent form and efficiency on offense and defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego State is 2-1 this season and has been more consistent overall, with better yardage efficiency metrics. Northern Illinois is 1-2 and struggles recently in September, going 1-8 SU in last 9 Septembers.
- No recent or relevant head-to-head data indicating dominance by either side; matchup appears balanced.
- No major injury reports affecting key starters on either team have been noted ahead of this matchup.
- Neutral weather expected, with no significant external disturbances. Brigham Field provides a home advantage for Northern Illinois.
- San Diego State is motivated to establish dominance on the road and consolidate their winning record. Northern Illinois needs a win to reverse poor early-season form, adding motivation at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Northern Illinois Huskies: +110, San Diego State Aztecs: -130 | San Diego State Aztecs | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Northern Illinois Huskies: +2.5 -112, San Diego State Aztecs: -2.5 -108 | San Diego State Aztecs -2.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over: 43.5 -110, Under: 43.5 -110 | Under 43.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 43.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego State -2.5 (spread); Moneyline San Diego State; Under 43.5 total points
Predicted Score: San Diego State 20 – Northern Illinois 17