Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, IL
Game Overview
Northern Illinois Huskies and Miami (OH) RedHawks both enter this Mid-American Conference matchup with 1-3 records, struggling offensively and defensively early in the season. Miami (OH) is favored as the road team and has historical dominance over NIU in recent ATS matchups.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are 1-3 overall with identical MAC conference records of 0-0. Miami (OH) displays slightly better efficiency metrics with 54.6% overall rated performance versus 45.4% for NIU. Huskies have failed to go over the total in their last four games, including the last two at home.
- Miami (OH) holds a strong advantage ATS, having covered in 9 of the last 10 matches against Northern Illinois, reflecting consistent ability to perform against this opponent in recent years.
- No significant injury reports available for either team, suggesting relatively full squads for both sides.
- Weather is favorable with 84Β°F, no rain, and light winds, so conditions should not impact gameplay markedly.
- Both teams seek to improve their losing records early in the season; however, Miami (OH)'s historical dominance over NIU adds motivational edge for the RedHawks to maintain momentum and secure a road win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Miami (OH) -192, Northern Illinois Huskies +160 | Miami (OH) RedHawks | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Miami (OH) -4.5 (-110), Northern Illinois +4.5 (-110) | Miami (OH) -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 38.5 (-105), Under 38.5 (-115) | Under 38.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 38.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 38.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win on the moneyline and cover the -4.5 spread; game total to go under 38.5 points.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 21 – Northern Illinois 14