Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, Illinois
Game Overview
Northern Illinois Huskies (1-6) host the Ball State Cardinals (3-4) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Northern Illinois is favored but has struggled overall with a weak offense and defense. Ball State has a better record and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northern Illinois has a poor season record (1-6) and ranks near the bottom in offensive stats, averaging just 12.3 points per game and struggling with passing yards (108.6 per game). Conversely, Ball State is 3-4 with a stronger defense and better recent results.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited this season, but Northern Illinois has not shown consistent superiority, despite home-field advantage.
- No major injury reports publicly available that drastically affect either team.
- Game played at Northern Illinoisβ home stadium with mild weather (56Β°F, 0% rain, light wind), neutral conditions favoring neither side.
- Northern Illinois is under pressure to avoid a winless MAC season at home, providing strong motivation, while Ball State aims to improve their conference standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Illinois -230, Ball State +190 | Northern Illinois | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Northern Illinois -6 (-108), Ball State +6 (-112) | Northern Illinois -6 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 41.5 (-102), Under 41.5 (-118) | Under 41.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Illinois Huskies -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 41.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northern Illinois to win outright (moneyline), cover the -6 spread, and the game total will go under 41.5 points.
Predicted Score: Northern Illinois 20 – Ball State 13