Match Analysis: New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 5:01 PM UTC
- Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Game Overview
The Buffalo Bills (1-0) visit the New York Jets (0-1) in Week 2 of the 2025 NFL season. The Bills come off an explosive 41-40 win against Baltimore, led by Josh Allen's dual-threat performance, while the Jets narrowly lost 34-32 to Pittsburgh in their season opener. This AFC East rivalry is expected to be competitive but slightly tilted towards Buffalo's higher talent level and momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Buffalo showed strong offensive execution with 394 passing yards and 4 total touchdowns from Josh Allen. The Jets fought hard defensively but lost a close game with a new head coach and QB Justin Fields making his debut. Buffalo's defense showed key plays including sacks from Ed Oliver and Matt Milano.
- Recent Jets vs Bills games have favored Buffalo, with the Jets struggling to cover spreads against the Bills historically. Buffalo tends to win by around a touchdown margin at MetLife in recent encounters.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that would strongly impact the matchup. Both teams seem to have their key offensive players available and healthy as of now.
- Game played at a neutral but Jets home stadium. Early season motivation appears balanced, though Buffalo aims to carry momentum from their thrilling Week 1 victory. Weather not reported as a factor.
- Bills motivated to prove consistency after a dramatic win. Jets motivated to respond after a narrow loss and first game under new leadership, but momentum favors Buffalo.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Buffalo Bills: -290, New York Jets: +235 | Buffalo Bills | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Buffalo Bills: -6.5 -112, New York Jets: +6.5 -108 | Buffalo Bills -6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 46.5: -110, Under 46.5: -110 | Under 46.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Buffalo Bills -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 46.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Buffalo Bills moneyline to win straight-up
Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 27 – New York Jets 17