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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Bryant Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Bryant Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM

Game Overview

New Mexico State Aggies host Bryant Bulldogs in the season opener at Aggie Memorial Stadium. New Mexico State is a sizable favorite with strong home advantage and a robust historical performance in simulations against Bryant.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico State is heavily favored with an 89% win probability in extensive simulations, showing superior team depth and experience compared to Bryant’s rebuilding squad under a moderately experienced coach. Bryant returns some key offensive and defensive players but lacks top-tier FBS-level firepower.
  • No recent direct matchups found, but statistical simulations show a consistent New Mexico State dominance, projecting a comfortable victory.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team ahead of the game, implying squads will field near full strength.
  • Home field advantage with warm weather (85Β°F), slight chance of rain (25%), and moderate wind could favor New Mexico State accustomed to local conditions.
  • Both teams start 0-0; New Mexico State motivated to assert dominance at home early in the season while Bryant looks to improve on last year’s low win total but faces a tough challenge in an away game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1100, away: +680 New Mexico State Aggies β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 88%
Spread home: -110, away: -110 New Mexico State Aggies -19.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Over 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico State Aggies -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico State Aggies to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -19.5 spread, and the total points to go over 53.5

Predicted Score: New Mexico State Aggies 37 – Bryant Bulldogs 18


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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction NFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-16
  • Time: 12:16 AM UTC
  • Location: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

Game Overview

Divisional rivals meet in a critical Thursday Night Football matchup with AFC North implications. The Steelers enter as heavy favorites, but the Bengals, despite quarterback questions and defensive injuries, are at home on a short weekβ€”a classic spot for a scrappy performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Steelers’ defense is surging, leading the league with 17 sacks in their last three games, while the Bengals struggle with one of the lowest pressure rates (16%) and have difficulty protecting the quarterback under pressure[1]. The Steelers’ offensive line is healthier, and their recent form is superior, with a convincing divisional win over Cleveland. Cincinnati remains inconsistent, especially with Joe Flacco under center after recent turbulence at QB, though Flacco has shown he can manage games and keep contests close[1][4].
  • Recent meetings have been tightly contested, often decided by a field goal. Divisional games on a short week tend to be closer than normal, even if one team is objectively stronger[4].
  • Bengals are likely without Trey Hendrickson (hip) and have multiple other starters questionable, including WRs and TEs. Steelers have a cleaner injury report, though Killebrew (doubtful, knee) and Calvin Austin III (shoulder) are notableβ€”but both are more depth than starters[5].
  • Short-week preparation favors home team, but Cincinnati’s thin, injury-depleted defense is a major concern against Pittsburgh’s edge rushers and creative blitz packages. The Steelers’ defensive momentum is a dominant factor in this matchup[1].
  • Both teams highly motivated in divisional clash with playoff implications. Steelers seek to distance themselves in the AFC North, while the Bengals aim to stay afloat after a turbulent start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CIN: +220, PIT: -270 PIT β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%
Spread CIN: +5.5 -108, PIT: -5.5 -112 CIN +5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: 42.5 -115, Under: 42.5 -105 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pittsburgh Steelers -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pittsburgh is the better team at full health, but the short week and divisional rivalry mean this is unlikely to be a blowout. Expect Cincinnati to keep it close but ultimately fall short, with Pittsburgh's defense generating timely stops to seal the win and avoid a backdoor cover.

Predicted Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 20 – Cincinnati Bengals 17


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East Carolina Pirates vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-16
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville

Game Overview

East Carolina Pirates, with a 3-3 record, host the 2-4 Tulsa Golden Hurricane in a late night game. East Carolina is a strong favorite based on current lines and recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • East Carolina is 3-2 in their last 5 games and 4-1 ATS, showing recent consistency and strong cover ability. Tulsa has struggled to maintain winning form with a 2-4 record and hovering around underdog status.
  • East Carolina has dominated recent ATS matchups, including a 2-0 record as a road dog against the spread, suggesting an advantage in execution and matchup preparation.
  • No significant injury reports currently affecting key starters for either team, maintaining full strength on both sides.
  • Temperature at kickoff is mild (56Β°F) with no rain expected and light wind, suggesting no weather disruptions. Playing at home benefits East Carolina.
  • East Carolina is incentivized to build momentum in a balanced season with a home crowd advantage, while Tulsa’s underwhelming record suggests lower morale and pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline East Carolina -770, Tulsa +540 East Carolina β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread East Carolina -16.5 -110, Tulsa +16.5 -110 East Carolina -16.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 55.5 -105, Under 55.5 -115 Under 55.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline East Carolina Pirates -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina will win convincingly, surpassing the 16.5-point spread, and the total points scored in the game will be under 55.5, reflecting East Carolina's strong defense and Tulsa’s offensive limitations.

Predicted Score: East Carolina 38 – Tulsa 17


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Sam Houston State Bearkats vs. UTEP Miners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs UTEP Miners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX

Game Overview

This ACC matchup features the struggling Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-6) hosting the UTEP Miners (1-5). Both teams have exhibited poor offensive production and high points allowed defensively. Sam Houston is seeking its first win, showing slight improvement, whereas UTEP has a modest 1-5 record with offensive instability, particularly at quarterback.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sam Houston State has allowed over 29 points in five consecutive games, struggling defensively. Offensively both teams have been ineffective; UTEP has failed to score more than 11 points in most recent games. UTEP ranks slightly better with 27.7 projected points vs. Sam Houston’s 25.0, but both offenses rank near the bottom nationally.
  • Limited recent H2H data; both teams rarely meet. No definitive advantage based on past matchups.
  • UTEP has two offensive skill position players questionable (WR Kam Thomas and TE Cash Cheeks), which could hamper their already struggling offense. No major reported injuries on Sam Houston.
  • Game played at Shell Energy Stadium in Houston with mild weather (86Β°F, no rain, low wind). Home field advantage may slightly favor Sam Houston State. Both teams appear low motivation with poor records, but Sam Houston seeks first win at home, possibly providing marginal motivational edge.
  • Sam Houston’s desire to avoid a winless start at home likely adds motivation. UTEP, despite struggles, has slightly better record but uncertain quarterback situation dampens confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Houston +120, UTEP -142 UTEP Miners β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Sam Houston +2.5 -102, UTEP -2.5 -120 UTEP Miners -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 -110, Under 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UTEP Miners -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: UTEP Miners; Spread: UTEP -2.5; Over/Under: Under 47.5

Predicted Score: UTEP Miners 24 – Sam Houston State Bearkats 17


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Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Delaware Blue Hens Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Delaware Blue Hens – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville, AL

Game Overview

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (3-3) host the Delaware Blue Hens (3-2) in a key mid-season FCS matchup. Delaware looks to leverage a slightly better overall record and a strong defense vulnerable to quality offensive drives, while Jacksonville State aims to improve on home ground with a balanced offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Delaware holds a 3-2 record, showing strong offensive efficiency on third downs and scoring typically in the high 20s to 30s per game. Jacksonville State is 3-3 with a slightly lower scoring output but has good offensive finishing drives and a home advantage.
  • Limited recent direct matchups data available, though odds and betting trends favor Delaware by 2.5 points. Jacksonville State struggles on the road ATS but is even ATS at home.
  • No major injuries reported for key players in either team at this time. Monitor Jacksonville State's LT Lance Johnson as a possible factor.
  • Weather is clear and warm (~73Β°F) with no rain expected; no significant external disruptions foreseen.
  • Delaware seeks to extend a winning trajectory after close games and high offensive output, while Jacksonville State faces pressure to get back to a winning path and defend home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Delaware: -118, Jacksonville State: +102 Delaware Blue Hens β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Delaware: -2.5 (-105), Jacksonville State: +2.5 (-115) Delaware Blue Hens -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 57.5 (-105), Under: 57.5 (-115) Over 57.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Delaware Blue Hens -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 57.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Delaware Blue Hens moneyline

Predicted Score: Delaware 30 – Jacksonville State 27


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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Florida International Panthers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Florida International Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Game Overview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-1) host Florida International Panthers (2-3) in a matchup where the Hilltoppers are strong favorites at home with superior records and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Kentucky has a 5-1 record with a strong offense averaging 33.67 PPG and defense allowing 22.83 PPG. Florida International is 2-3 with a weaker offense (21.20 PPG) and defense allowing 32.00 PPG. WKU also leads in point differential (+10.83 vs -10.80).
  • Limited recent head-to-head data is available, but simulations and projections favor Western Kentucky with about 59% win probability.
  • Current injury reports do not indicate any major absences impacting key starters for either side.
  • Game is played at WKU's home stadium with mild weather (~67Β°F, no rain), favoring the home team. Public betting trends show 63% of bets on Western Kentucky.
  • Western Kentucky has more to play for with a 5-1 record eyeing conference dominance, while FIU at 2-3 is under pressure but less likely to control the game flow.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Western Kentucky -330, Florida International +265 Western Kentucky β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Western Kentucky -8.5 -110, Florida International +8.5 -110 Western Kentucky -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 55.5 -110, Under 55.5 -110 Over 55.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the total score to go over 55.5 points.

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky 31 – 24 Florida International


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South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-14
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Alabama

Game Overview

South Alabama Jaguars host Arkansas State Red Wolves in a Sun Belt matchup where South Alabama is slight favorite despite a poor 1-5 record, while Arkansas State holds a 2-4 record. Both teams are struggling but South Alabama has home advantage and is favored by sportsbooks to cover a moderate spread.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Alabama is 1-5 overall, recently lost to Troy 31-24, showing challenges in winning but has a decent offense that can put up points at home. Arkansas State is 2-4, with a recent close 31-30 win over Texas State, indicating capability to score but defensive lapses too.
  • Recent H2H data is limited but both Sun Belt teams have had competitive games. Previous meetings have been moderately close, favoring defensive and moderately scoring games.
  • Arkansas State missing TE Tyler Little (significant for red zone targets). South Alabama reportedly has no major injuries impacting key starters defensive or offensive skill positions.
  • Game is played at South Alabama’s home stadium, enhancing crowd support. Weather and other external factors expected to be neutral with no weather-related impacts.
  • South Alabama seeks a second win to break a losing streak and gain momentum on home turf. Arkansas State wants to build on their recent close win but is on the road with injury concerns, possibly limiting motivation slightly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Alabama: -295, Arkansas State: +240 South Alabama Moneyline β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread South Alabama: -7.5 -110, Arkansas State: +7.5 -110 South Alabama -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over: 58.5 -110, Under: 58.5 -110 Over 58.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Alabama Jaguars 121%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: South Alabama Jaguars at 121% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Alabama to win moneyline and cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to go over 58.5 points

Predicted Score: South Alabama 35, Arkansas State 24


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Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-14
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA

Game Overview

The Liberty Flames (2-4) host the New Mexico State Aggies (3-2) in a mid-October NCAA Football matchup. Liberty is favored heavily with home advantage and a better defensive profile, while New Mexico State comes in with a superior record and some key players healthy and ready.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico State has a 3-2 record, showing better recent form and more consistent play than Liberty, who is 2-4 with a losing trend. Liberty's defense has been solid, holding opponents under 20 points recently, while their offense has struggled to score.
  • Recent head-to-head information is limited, but Liberty has historically had a home-field edge. No recent games available to significantly favor one side based on this factor.
  • New Mexico State’s RB Dijon Stanley is healthy following a concussion, and WR Donovan Faupel is active, which improves their offensive potential. Liberty has no reported key injuries impacting this game.
  • Clear weather conditions expected at Williams Stadium with no rain and mild temperatures around 68Β°F, which favors a normal style of play. Home crowd support favors Liberty.
  • Liberty is motivated to improve their losing record and protect home turf. New Mexico State aims to continue their winning momentum and potentially secure a bowl-eligible season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liberty Flames: -450, New Mexico State Aggies: +350 Liberty Flames β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Liberty Flames -11.5 (-110), New Mexico State Aggies +11.5 (-110) Liberty Flames -11.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-110), Under 48.5 (-110) Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liberty Flames -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liberty Flames to win straight up covering the spread and the game total to go under.

Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 27 – New Mexico State Aggies 17


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Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears Prediction NFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-13
  • Time: 12:16 AM UTC
  • Location: FedExField, Landover, MD

Game Overview

The Washington Commanders host the Chicago Bears in an NFL Week 6 matchup featuring two top young quarterbacks, Caleb Williams (Washington) and Jayden Daniels (Chicago). Washington enters favored after a strong recent win, while Chicago is coming off a bye week after a two-game winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Washington is 3-2 overall and 2-0 at home, showing a balanced offense with improved rushing and opportunistic defense creating turnovers recently. Chicago is 2-2 but revitalized offensively under coach Ben Johnson, with momentum from two straight wins before their bye.
  • Last year’s meeting included a dramatic game-winning Hail Mary by Chicago’s Daniels to beat Washington. Both teams have young QBs who show promise, with Washington holding a slight edge in home advantage and recent form.
  • No major injury reports are indicated affecting starting quarterbacks or key offensive players for either team. Both offenses should be near full strength.
  • This Monday night prime-time game adds pressure and spotlight, favoring disciplined teams and home advantage. Weather is not expected to be a significant factor.
  • Washington looks to build on their best win of the year against the Chargers, aiming to maintain momentum. Chicago aims to capitalize on their bye and back-to-back wins to continue their resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Washington Commanders -225, Chicago Bears +185 Washington Commanders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Washington Commanders -4.5 -115, Chicago Bears +4.5 -105 Washington Commanders -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 49.5 -118, Under 49.5 -102 Over 49.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Washington Commanders -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Washington Commanders to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 4.5-point spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Washington Commanders 28, Chicago Bears 21


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Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction NFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-13
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: To be announced

Game Overview

The 4-1 Buffalo Bills, coming off a strong run, visit the 2-2 Atlanta Falcons. The Bills are clear favorites on the road, with Atlanta looking to rebound after a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo has won 4 of 5, including quality wins over Baltimore and Miami. Atlanta has struggled for consistency, including a recent home loss to New England. Buffalo’s offense, led by Josh Allen, is dynamic and efficient. Atlanta’s defense has shown vulnerability, especially when facing high-powered offenses.
  • Recent head-to-head data not available in these results, but based on current form, Buffalo holds a clear qualitative edge.
  • No significant injuries listed in available data, but absence of key players on either side could tilt the matchup.
  • No unusual weather or venue factors indicated. Buffalo is traveling, but their road record (1-0 so far this season) suggests they handle travel well.
  • Both teams are in the hunt; Buffalo is aiming to solidify AFC leadership, while Atlanta is fighting for NFC playoff positioning after a .500 start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BUF -225, ATL +185 Buffalo Bills β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread BUF -4.5 (-115), ATL +4.5 (-105) Buffalo Bills -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-118), Under 49.5 (-102) Over 49.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bills -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo’s superior offensive firepower and defensive consistency, combined with Atlanta’s shaky recent form, make the Bills the safest play across major markets. While Atlanta could keep it close at home, Buffalo’s recent dominance suggests they’ll cover the spread and push the total over the mark.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 31, Atlanta Falcons 24


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