Match Analysis: New England Patriots vs New York Jets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Game Overview
This NFL Week 11 matchup features the New England Patriots (8-2) hosting the New York Jets (2-7). The Patriots have been dominant at home with momentum from a solid recent record, whereas the Jets struggle overall but have shown gritty effort in recent weeks.
Key Factors to Consider
- Patriots are currently 8-2 with a strong home record and recent wins over playoff-contending teams. Jets are 2-7, struggling defensively and offensively, but managed a recent win against Cleveland.
- Historically, Patriots have dominated Jets in recent matchups both home and away. Jets have not been able to keep pace with Patriots' offense or defense.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact key starters. Both teams appear to have their main offensive and defensive players available.
- Game is played indoors at Gillette Stadium with no weather-related impact expected. Patriots have home crowd advantage and easier travel situation.
- Patriots are motivated to protect their playoff positioning and continue winning streak. Jets are motivated to avoid a prolonged losing streak and prove competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Patriots -800, Jets +550 | New England Patriots | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Patriots -11.5 (-110), Jets +11.5 (-110) | New England Patriots -11.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 43.5 (-110), Under 43.5 (-110) | Under 43.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England Patriots -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 43.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Patriots to win moneyline and cover the spread; game total expected to stay under 43.5 points.
Predicted Score: New England Patriots 27, New York Jets 13