Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Jose State Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada
Game Overview
The San Jose State Spartans (3-6) visit the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-8) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. San Jose State is a clear favorite given their superior record and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose State has shown moderately better performance this season with a 3-6 record compared to Nevada's poor 1-8. Nevada is on a 0-5 losing streak and struggling especially at home, while the Spartans have been playing more competitively.
- Recent head-to-head results favor San Jose State, who have covered the spread more consistently against Nevada. Nevada's recent home performance against the Spartans has been weak.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, ensuring both sides can field their typical starters and defensive units.
- Weather is mild and stable in Reno with temperatures around 53Β°F and no rain expected. No travel issues or other disruptions are apparent.
- San Jose State aims to improve their standing and secure a better season finish, which provides them extra motivation. Nevada, having a disappointing season, may lack the momentum and confidence to mount a strong challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nevada Wolf Pack: +265, San Jose State Spartans: -330 | San Jose State Spartans | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Nevada Wolf Pack +9.5: -112, San Jose State Spartans -9.5: -108 | San Jose State Spartans -9.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 50.5: -106, Under 50.5: -114 | Under 50.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose State Spartans -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose State Spartans to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -9.5 spread, and the game to finish under the total of 50.5 points.
Predicted Score: San Jose State Spartans 27 – Nevada Wolf Pack 14