Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Tech Hokies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina
Game Overview
NC State Wolfpack (3-1) host Virginia Tech Hokies (1-3) in an ACC matchup. NC State is favored by 10 points with a total of 57.5 points projected.
Key Factors to Consider
- NC State is coming off a high-scoring loss (33-45) to Duke but holds a stronger overall record (3-1) compared to Virginia Tech's 1-3 record, which includes a recent 38-6 win over Wofford. NC State has been strong offensively and defensively but shows vulnerability giving up 45 points recently. Virginia Techβs big recent win may boost confidence but against weaker opposition.
- Historical matchups favor NC State slightly with home advantage. Recent betting lines and trends lean heavily towards NC State based on consistency and home field.
- No significant injury reports affecting either side have been noted for this matchup, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength.
- The game is played in Raleigh with favorable weather conditions (73Β°F, mild wind, moderate humidity, 43% rain chance). Public betting heavily favors NC State moneyline and spread.
- NC State aims to rebound from a loss and maintain ACC dominance at home, while Virginia Tech looks for momentum and redemption after slow start to the season. NC State has stronger motivation to defend home turf against a struggling opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack: -375, Virginia Tech Hokies: +295 | NC State Wolfpack | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | NC State Wolfpack -10: -110, Virginia Tech Hokies +10: -110 | NC State Wolfpack -10 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 57.5: -112, Under 57.5: -108 | Over 57.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 57.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NC State to win outright (moneyline), cover the -10 spread, and the total points will go over 57.5
Predicted Score: NC State Wolfpack 34 – Virginia Tech Hokies 21