Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: NC State Wolfpack Home Stadium
Game Overview
The NC State Wolfpack will face the Florida State Seminoles in a crucial ACC matchup. Florida State enters as a favored team with strong historic performances and solid betting odds, while NC State is on a three-game winning streak against FSU, demonstrating competitiveness in recent years. The game is expected to be high-scoring given the total set at 61.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida State has a historical upper hand with a 27-16 overall record against NC State and a solid home and away performance. NC State has been competitive recently, winning the last three meetings. Florida State's team is favored by bookmakers with moneyline -218 and a 4.5-point spread. Both teams have shown the ability to score in past matchups, pointing to an offensive contest.
- Overall, Florida State leads the series 27-16, but NC State has won the last 3 consecutive meetings (2020-2022). Past results show some high-scoring contests and close games, with Florida State historically dominating but recent years favoring NC State.
- No specific current injury information is available from the search data. Injury reports should be monitored closer to game day for full impact assessment.
- NC State has home-field advantage, which can impact momentum. Weather or specific stadium conditions are not reported and likely neutral given typical late November climate in the region.
- Both teams are motivated for ACC positioning late in the season. Florida Stateโs favored status and historical record suggest a desire to reassert dominance, while NC State aims to extend its winning streak against the Seminoles and strengthen its conference credentials.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida State Seminoles: -218, NC State Wolfpack: 180 | Florida State Seminoles | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Florida State Seminoles: -4.5 -115, NC State Wolfpack: +4.5 -105 | Florida State Seminoles -4.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 61.5: -115, Under 61.5: -105 | Over 61.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida State Seminoles -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 61.5 16% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida State Seminoles are favored to win but NC State's recent victories in the series and home advantage suggest a competitive game. The prediction is a Florida State win by about 4 points. The total score is expected to go over the 61.5 points line.
Predicted Score: Florida State Seminoles 34 – NC State Wolfpack 30