Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
Game Overview
The undefeated Navy Midshipmen (6-0) host the struggling Florida Atlantic Owls (3-4) with Navy heavily favored both on the moneyline and the spread. Navy has demonstrated strong recent form, while Florida Atlantic has shown vulnerabilities especially on defense in recent games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Navy is undefeated at 6-0 and coming off a close win (32-31 vs Temple). Their offense and defense have been consistent, especially at home. Florida Atlantic is 3-4 and recently lost 48-13 to South Florida, showing defensive and offensive struggles.
- Recent matchups favor Navy, who have dominated in past meetings and hold a significant psychological edge.
- No major injuries reported that would affect Navy significantly. Florida Atlantic's struggles may be compounded by less depth and potentially unreported minor injuries.
- Weather expected to be mild with 58Β°F, no rain, and little wind β neutral conditions for football.
- Navy remains motivated to maintain a perfect record and assert dominance in conference play; Florida Atlantic is motivated to upset a top team but faces an uphill battle.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Navy -650, Florida Atlantic +470 | Navy Midshipmen | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Navy -15.5 (-112), Florida Atlantic +15.5 (-108) | Navy Midshipmen -15.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 63.5 (-105), Under 63.5 (-115) | Under 63.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Navy Midshipmen -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 63.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Navy Midshipmen to win straight-up, cover the -15.5 spread, and the total points to go under 63.5
Predicted Score: Navy 28 – Florida Atlantic 10