Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-17
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium
Game Overview
The Montreal Alouettes, currently 3-2, host the struggling Toronto Argonauts, who are 1-4. The Alouettes are favored due to their strong defensive performance and balanced offense, while the Argonauts have struggled with a porous defense and inconsistent offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal has shown strong defensive metrics, allowing the fewest points per game in the East. Toronto, on the other hand, has a struggling offense and defense, ranking 9th in total offense and 8th in total defense.
- The Alouettes have had success against the Argonauts historically and have started the season with strong wins.
- Davis Alexander for the Alouettes was dealing with a hamstring injury but is not expected to miss this game.
- The Alouettes are playing at home, where they typically perform well, while the Argonauts are on the road.
- The Alouettes are motivated to maintain their strong start, while the Argonauts are looking to turn their season around.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes: -420, Toronto Argonauts: 320 | Montreal Alouettes | β β β β β 82% |
Spread | Montreal Alouettes: -8.5 -110 | Montreal Alouettes | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105 | Over | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 50.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal is expected to win given their strong form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 31, Toronto Argonauts 20