Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-13
- Time: 5:05 PM UTC
- Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Game Overview
The Montreal Alouettes will host the Ottawa Redblacks in a critical CFL matchup at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium. Montreal currently holds an 8-7 overall record showing decent form at home, while Ottawa is struggling with a 7-10 record. This game is pivotal as both teams push toward securing playoff positioning late in the 2025 season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal Alouettes have a stronger recent performance, boasting an 8-7 record with solid points scored in recent games. Ottawa Redblacks have struggled, holding a 7-10 record with inconsistent offensive and defensive outputs. Montrealโs balanced offense and defense outperform Ottawaโs under-pressure squad.
- Recent meetings tend to favor Montreal, including a notable 28-7 victory against Ottawa earlier this season. Ottawaโs last few attempts have shown flashes of competitiveness but lack consistency to overcome the Alouettes decisively.
- No significant injury reports for Montreal reported recently that would impact the starting lineup. Ottawa has added new defensive players including linebacker Jonathan Jones and defensive back Kenyon Reed to bolster their lineup, reflecting attempts to strengthen their defense.
- Home field advantage for Montreal at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium lends a supportive environment backed by local fans. Weather and other external conditions expected to be neutral without forecasted major impact. Media coverage and training schedules indicate both teams are well prepared.
- Montreal, with a better record and home advantage, is motivated to consolidate playoff positioning. Ottawa is driven to upset the Alouettes and extend their season hopes with reinforcements from recent roster additions.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes: -850, Ottawa Redblacks: 570 | Montreal Alouettes | โ โ โ โ โ 88% |
| Spread | Montreal Alouettes: -13.5, -122, Ottawa Redblacks: +13.5, 100 | Montreal Alouettes to cover the -13.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5: -110, Under 51.5: -110 | Over 51.5 total points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 18% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal Alouettes are predicted to win decisively by more than the spread based on superior season performance, home advantage, and stronger recent form.
Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 34 – Ottawa Redblacks 17