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Montreal Alouettes vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (3-1) are hosting the BC Lions (1-3) in a key CFL matchup. Montreal holds home-field advantage and positive momentum with a strong 3-1 record, while BC has struggled both on the road and overall, going 1-3. The game is expected to feature disciplined play by Montreal against an inconsistent BC Lions team that boasts an impressive passing attack but is hampered by turnovers and defensive issues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal Alouettes are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread, winning their only home game so far. BC Lions have a 1-3 record both straight up and ATS, and are 0-2 on the road. Montreal averages 29.2 points per game and 21.4 allowed recently, while BC averages around 20.4 points with a higher opponent scoring rate.
  • Historically, BC Lions have dominated the matchup with 18 wins to Montreal's 9 since 2010. However, recent form favors Montreal who have covered the spread 80% of the last five meetings and averaged higher points scored. BC has only covered 20% ATS in last five meetings.
  • No significant injury information is currently available impacting the starters for either team.
  • The match is at Montreal’s home stadium which gives them a strategic advantage. Recent games have shown BC’s defense allowing significant yardage and struggling against efficient Montreal offense. Montreal’s momentum and home crowd support could influence gameplay.
  • Montreal aims to consolidate their lead in the East Division with another home win and extend their strong start. BC is motivated to improve their road record and bounce back from recent defeats, particularly addressing turnovers and defensive lapses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes: -196, BC Lions: 162 Montreal Alouettes ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Montreal Alouettes: -3.5 -115, BC Lions: +3.5 -105 Montreal Alouettes -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -105 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are favored to win at home, expected to dominate the game by protecting the football and maintaining scoring pressure. BC Lions may struggle to overcome turnovers and defensive inconsistencies, resulting in a Montreal win covering the spread.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 29 – BC Lions 20


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Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa Redblacks Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Play Alberta Field at Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Edmonton Elks host the Ottawa Redblacks in a Week 5 CFL matchup, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC). Both teams are struggling this season; Edmonton is 0-3 seeking their first win, while Ottawa holds a 1-3 record. This game features two last-place division teams facing off in Edmonton, with high stakes to break early losing streaks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edmonton Elks have lost all three games this season, including a 36-23 defeat in Winnipeg last week. Ottawa Redblacks have a 1-3 record, coming off a 29-16 loss at home to Toronto. Both teams have poor recent performance against the spread with Ottawa 2-9 ATS in last 11 games and Edmonton 1-7 ATS in last eight, showing inconsistency and low confidence levels for bettors.
  • Ottawa won both head-to-head meetings against Edmonton last season, including a win as a four-point underdog and covering as a one-point favorite. Edmonton has lost 15 of their last 20 home games, while Ottawa is 1-7 SU in their last eight road games, indicating a generally even but slightly negative historical matchup for both.
  • No specific injury updates available from the latest reports for either team, indicating key players likely to be available.
  • The game day will include the Elks' themed Hard Hat Huddle event, potentially boosting home crowd energy. Weather and field conditions are not reported to be adverse. Broadcast will be on TSN/RDS2 in Canada and CBS Sports in the U.S. with international streaming on CFL+, ensuring wide viewership.
  • Both teams are motivated to break losing streaks; Edmonton seeks their first win of the season at home, while Ottawa aims to improve their 1-3 record. The Elks' home fans and special event could provide an emotional boost, but Ottawa’s status as slight favorites reflects their perceived edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edmonton Elks: +108, Ottawa Redblacks: -134 Ottawa Redblacks ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Edmonton Elks: +1.5 -112, Ottawa Redblacks: -1.5 -112 Ottawa Redblacks -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 52.5 -112, Under: 52.5 -112 Under 52.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ottawa Redblacks -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ottawa Redblacks are favored to win narrowly based on recent form, historical head-to-head advantage, and betting market odds. However, Edmonton’s home advantage and motivation to avoid a 0-4 start suggest a close game.

Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 27 – Edmonton Elks 24


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Toronto Argonauts vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Home venue of Toronto Argonauts (specific stadium not provided)

Game Overview

The upcoming CFL match between the Toronto Argonauts (home) and Hamilton Tiger-Cats (away) promises a tightly contested battle. Recent preseason form shows Toronto edging Hamilton 30-23 with a strong second-half performance after Hamilton's first-half defensive resilience. Both teams have shown defensive capabilities but also offensive potential, suggesting an evenly matched game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto Argonauts demonstrated the ability to adapt and score, overcoming a defensive Hamilton side to win 30-23 in their last preseason encounter. Hamilton's defense is notable, especially early in games, but their offense has struggled to capitalize consistently. Both teams have mixed results in recent weeks but are competitive with each other.
  • Recent preseason meetings favor Toronto with a 30-23 win. Historically, the rivalry is close and competitive. No exact long-term head-to-head statistics were found, but current form slightly favors Toronto.
  • No specific injury reports were found in the available data for either team at this time.
  • The match time and date (July 4, 2025, at 23:30 UTC) may mean late-night conditions in Canada, which could impact player stamina and fan attendance. Weather and venue conditions are unreported but can affect gameplay.
  • Both teams are motivated to assert early-season dominance in what is a regional rivalry. Toronto's recent victory provides them confidence, while Hamilton will be driven to avenge the loss and improve offensive execution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -110, Toronto Argonauts: -110 Toronto Argonauts ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Hamilton Tiger-Cats: 1.5 -118, Toronto Argonauts: -1.5 -104 Toronto Argonauts -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under Over 52.5: -105, Under 52.5: -115 Over 52.5 ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Argonauts -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performances, defensive strengths, and equal moneyline odds, the game is predicted to be close. Toronto Argonauts have a slight edge due to recent success and offensive momentum.

Predicted Score: Toronto Argonauts 28 – 24 Hamilton Tiger-Cats


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Calgary Stampeders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders will host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in a pivotal CFL matchup. Both teams have shown strong form, with Winnipeg holding a slightly better early-season record at 3-0 compared to Calgary's 2-1. The Blue Bombers aim to continue momentum following last season’s Grey Cup finals loss, while the Stampeders look to capitalize on home-field advantage to even the series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg has started the season undefeated (3-0), displaying balanced offensive and defensive capabilities. Calgary is 2-1, showing resilience but slightly less consistency. Winnipeg's offense excels in passing yards, while Calgary’s defense has notable rushing yard containment but has vulnerabilities in pass defense.
  • Historically, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers have had competitive success against Calgary, with recent seasons showing tight contests. Winnipeg won two of three meetings against BC last season, reflecting strong form. The exact prior head-to-head between Calgary and Winnipeg early in 2025 is limited but suggests Winnipeg holds a slight edge.
  • No specific recent injuries to key starters have been reported for either team in available data. Both teams appear to have their main rosters intact for this contest.
  • Playing at McMahon Stadium gives Calgary a home-field edge. Weather conditions in early July in Calgary are generally favorable for football, and there are no indications of adverse factors affecting play.
  • Winnipeg seeks redemption after last year's Grey Cup loss and to extend their undefeated streak this season. Calgary aims to gain ground in the standings and leverage home support to reverse recent losses against Winnipeg.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders: +140, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -170 Winnipeg Blue Bombers ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Calgary Stampeders: 3.5 (-114), Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -3.5 (-106) Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 50.5 (-105), Under: 50.5 (-115) Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on form, balanced team performance, and odds favoring Winnipeg, the Blue Bombers are the likely winners, though Calgary’s home advantage makes this a closely contested encounter.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 28 – Calgary Stampeders 24


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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa

Game Overview

The Week 4 CFL match-up features the Toronto Argonauts visiting the Ottawa Redblacks. This game is pivotal for both teams as they look to build momentum early in the 2025 season. Ottawa has shown competitive form in their home games while Toronto is aiming to recover from recent inconsistent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ottawa Redblacks have demonstrated a solid home record and improved defensive efforts in recent weeks, while the Toronto Argonauts have had mixed performances with some struggles on the road. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, but Ottawa’s balanced play on both sides gives them a slight edge.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Ottawa Redblacks slightly, especially at home where they have managed to contain Toronto’s offensive threats effectively. Last seasons' meetings showed competitive games with close scores, but Ottawa finished with a better record overall.
  • Current injury reports have not highlighted any major absences for either team, though minor injuries could affect depth particularly in defensive backfields and special teams.
  • The game being at Ottawa’s home stadium, TD Place, with its supportive crowd and familiar conditions, provides a home-field advantage. Weather is expected to be clear and cool, which should not adversely affect play style for either team.
  • Ottawa is motivated to maintain home dominance and assert themselves in the early season standings. Toronto is motivated to prove resilience on the road and seeks to avoid an early-season losing streak, increasing their urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ottawa Redblacks: -154, Toronto Argonauts: 128 Ottawa Redblacks win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Ottawa Redblacks: -2.5 -122, Toronto Argonauts: +2.5 100 Ottawa Redblacks to cover -2.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 51.5: -118, Under 51.5: -104 Over 51.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ottawa Redblacks 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering home advantage, recent form, and squad health, Ottawa Redblacks are favored to win this game. The spread suggests Ottawa is expected to win by a field goal margin, and the total points line indicates a moderately high-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 28 – 21 Toronto Argonauts


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK

Game Overview

The game features the undefeated Saskatchewan Roughriders (3-0) hosting the BC Lions (1-2) at Mosaic Stadium. The Riders have shown inconsistency despite their perfect record, having played mostly East Division teams, while the Lions have struggled early, facing tough opponents like Winnipeg. BC’s quarterback situation is uncertain with Nathan Rourke's availability in question, which affects their offensive potential. The match is expected to showcase offensive firepower from both sides, making an over bet plausible.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan Roughriders have a strong 3-0 start but have been inconsistent against East Division teams. Trevor Harris leads the offense with high passing yards and touchdowns but also turnover issues. BC Lions are 1-2, have faced tough defenses like Winnipeg, and show middle-tier offensive and defensive stats. Their ability to compete hinges on Nathan Rourke's availability and performance.
  • Recent matchups suggest a competitive contest with no clear dominance. The Riders hold a home advantage playing at Mosaic Stadium. BC Lions have shown resilience despite the slow start and may prevent the Riders from extending their unbeaten run.
  • Nathan Rourke’s participation remains uncertain, which could impact BC Lions' offensive output significantly. No major injuries reported for Saskatchewan Roughriders that would affect starting lineup.
  • Playing at home gives Saskatchewan a slight edge. Weather conditions are typical for late June in Regina and should not heavily influence play. Both teams have motivation to improve early-season standings.
  • Saskatchewan aims to prove their 3-0 record is legitimate against a West Division foe after facing mostly East Division teams. BC Lions seek to gain momentum and avoid a poor start, looking to snap their losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: 168, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -205 Saskatchewan Roughriders to win ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

While the Saskatchewan Roughriders hold the advantage with their undefeated record and home field, the BC Lions are likely to cover the spread given their capability to challenge the Riders and the uncertainty around Saskatchewan’s consistency. The game is predicted to be high scoring, favoring the over bet due to offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – 24 BC Lions


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Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, Ontario

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (3-0) visit the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-2) at Tim Hortons Field. Montreal enters the game undefeated and favored, having shown strong offensive performances in their wins, while Hamilton has struggled out of the gate seeking their first victory. The Alouettes are expected to remain dominant with a solid defense and efficient offense, whereas Hamilton will need to overcome early season challenges to compete effectively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal Alouettes boast a perfect start to the season (3-0), with effective offensive output averaging over 30 points per game and a defense that has limited opponents decisively. Hamilton Tiger-Cats, conversely, have started 0-2, struggling to find offensive rhythm and defensive consistency.
  • Recent matchups favor Montreal, who have been more consistent in victories against Hamilton in the past season. Montreal’s confidence and momentum add to their advantage in the head-to-head context.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters for either team have been noted leading into this game, providing both teams near full-strength lineups.
  • The game is played at Hamilton's home stadium, which can give the Tiger-Cats some home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be neutral with no extreme conditions forecasted, minimizing external impact on gameplay.
  • Montreal is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and assert dominance early in the CFL season, while Hamilton is driven to salvage their season start and gain momentum with their first win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +118, Montreal Alouettes: -142 Montreal Alouettes win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5: -105, Montreal Alouettes -2.5: -115 Montreal Alouettes -2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -105 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are predicted to win the match, covering the -2.5 spread with a moderately high confidence, as their strong form and consistent play suggest continued success against a struggling Hamilton team.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 28 – Hamilton Tiger-Cats 21


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Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Edmonton Elks Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg

Game Overview

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers host the Edmonton Elks in a Canadian Football League match at Princess Auto Stadium. Winnipeg is currently undefeated with a 1-0 record while Edmonton is 0-2, indicating a stronger start for Winnipeg this season. The Blue Bombers are favored heavily due to their superior offensive and defensive stats and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg shows high offensive productivity, ranking 2nd in overall scoring at 34 points per game, with a strong home rushing attack (201 yards per game, ranked 1st) and effective passing (239 yards). Edmonton struggles offensively with just 21 points per game and ranks 8th in several key categories like road passing and overall defense. Winnipeg's defense at home is also formidable, ranking 2nd overall. Edmonton's defense ranks lower (8th in overall defense).
  • Recent head to head and historical data favors Winnipeg, having won key confrontations in recent seasons. Winnipeg's home dominance and Edmonton's current struggles suggest Winnipeg is likely to maintain superiority.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either team at this time, suggesting both teams may have full or near-full rosters for the match.
  • Winnipeg benefits from home field advantage at Princess Auto Stadium. Weather conditions and other external issues were not reported but could impact play.
  • Winnipeg is motivated to continue strong early season form and build on their undefeated start. Edmonton, winless so far, has strong incentive to rebound but faces an uphill battle against a highly ranked opponent on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edmonton Elks: 375, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -525 Winnipeg Blue Bombers ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Edmonton Elks: -9.5 -105, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: +9.5 -115 Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover -9.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers are predicted to win comfortably, leveraging superior offense, stingy defense, and home advantage. The predicted margin reflects the notable spread and odds favoring Winnipeg.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 31 – Edmonton Elks 17


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BC Lions vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC (Home venue for BC Lions)

Game Overview

The upcoming CFL match between the BC Lions and Winnipeg Blue Bombers features two rivalry teams with a long history, having met 145 times including postseason, with Winnipeg holding a slight edge in wins. Recently, Winnipeg secured a convincing 34-20 victory against BC on June 13, 2025, demonstrating strong depth in key positions and defensive prowess. Winnipeg managed this without key starters Zach Collaros and Brady Oliveira, showing effective backup quarterback play and a balanced offensive attack. BC Lions will be motivated to leverage home advantage to rebound from their recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg Blue Bombers have shown resilience and depth, winning their last encounter decisively (34-20) by capitalizing on backup QB Chris Streveler's effective passing and rushing touchdowns. BC Lions struggled defensively to contain Winnipeg's balanced offense and failed to overcome turnovers. The Lions' offense led by Nathan Rourke was pressured heavily, leading to three turnovers in the previous meeting.
  • The teams have a rich rivalry with 145 games played; Winnipeg leads with 68 wins overall. The most recent match favored Winnipeg with a 14-point margin, indicating Winnipeg's tactical and personnel advantage as of late.
  • Winnipeg's previous game was without key players Zach Collaros (suspended) and Brady Oliveira (injured early), yet they still won convincingly. Current injury status for this match is not detailed but Winnipeg demonstrated effective next-man-up mentality. No specific injuries reported for BC Lions in available data, but defensive performance in previous match was challenged.
  • The game is played at BC Lions' home venue, which could provide them with crowd support and familiarity with the field. Weather or other environmental factors are not specified but should typically favor the home team. Winnipeg’s ability to perform well on the road makes this a balanced factor.
  • BC Lions are motivated to avenge their recent loss and defend home turf, while Winnipeg seeks to maintain dominance and prove their squad depth despite prior suspensions and injuries. The rivalry intensity adds competitive fire to both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: 126, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -152 Winnipeg Blue Bombers ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread BC Lions: -3.5 at -128, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: +3.5 at 104 Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover the -3.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 50.5: -105, Under 50.5: -115 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers are favored to win again, given their recent commanding victory, depth in backing up key positions, and ability to pressure BC Lions' offense. However, the home advantage for BC Lions could narrow the margin, making this a competitive game with Winnipeg likely to edge a close win.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 28 – 24 BC Lions


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Calgary Stampeders vs. Ottawa Redblacks Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Ottawa Redblacks in a Week 3 CFL matchup. Calgary has started the season strong with a 2-0 record both straight up and against the spread, showcasing balanced offensive and opportunistic defensive play. Ottawa enters the game winless at 0-2 and has struggled against the spread as well. Ottawa's normal starting quarterback is expected to play, but there are concerns about his physical condition. The game is anticipated to be controlled by Calgary, with a modest scoring pace around 45 points total.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary Stampeders have a perfect start, 2-0 straight up and ATS, showing both strong offense and defense. Ottawa Redblacks are 0-2 straight up and against the spread, with their games tending to go over the total points line.
  • Recent data implies Calgary has the upper hand, reflected in their strong start and favored status in betting markets. Ottawa has yet to secure a win in 2025 and has struggled in previous encounters.
  • Ottawa's starting quarterback is expected to start but may not be at full physical capacity, potentially limiting offensive effectiveness. No major injuries reported for Calgary.
  • The game is played in Calgary's home stadium, giving them home-field advantage. Broadcast coverage is widely available on TSN and other networks, ensuring high visibility. Weather or other external adverse conditions are not mentioned.
  • Calgary aims to continue its undefeated start and maintain momentum. Ottawa is motivated to get their first win but faces challenges due to recent form and injury concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders: -110, Ottawa Redblacks: -110 Calgary Stampeders to win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Calgary Stampeders: 1.5 -122, Ottawa Redblacks: -1.5 100 Calgary Stampeders to cover +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115 Under 51.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Calgary Stampeders at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders are predicted to win with a clear advantage, likely covering the spread. The total points are expected to stay just under the 51.5 line due to Calgary's balanced and controlled approach and Ottawa's injury concerns.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 17


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