Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Central Arkansas Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field
Game Overview
The Missouri Tigers host the Central Arkansas Bears in a season-opening NCAA football matchup. Missouri, a Power 5 program, is heavily favored over FCS opponent Central Arkansas, with a substantial point spread and a relatively high total points line.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri is coming off a strong recent home performance with a 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS run, while Central Arkansas has lost its last 5 games straight up and failed 5-0 SU on the road in recent patterns.
- No recent head-to-head data available; however, Missouri's home dominance and Central Arkansas' poor road form strongly indicate a Missouri advantage.
- No significant injuries reported for either team before kickoff.
- Playing at home in Faurot Field with familiar conditions benefits Missouri, while Central Arkansas faces travel and environment challenges typical for FCS teams playing Power 5 away games.
- Missouri aims to start strong to set the tone for conference play, while Central Arkansas enters as a clear underdog with limited motivation beyond experience gain.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -400 | Missouri Tigers | β β β β β 92% |
Spread | -115 | Missouri Tigers -36.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | -115 | Over 51.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 51.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri Tigers win outright and cover the large spread; game expected to go OVER the total points line based on offensive vs defensive mismatch.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 56 – Central Arkansas Bears 14