Match Analysis: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
Game Overview
No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) face the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-4) in a pivotal SEC matchup. Georgia is heavily favored on the road, with the spread set at -9.5 and the over/under at 56.5. Georgia enters off a narrow win over Florida, while Mississippi State narrowly defeated Arkansas in their last outing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Georgia has dominated most of its schedule, with only one loss, and boasts a strong defense and balanced offense. Mississippi State has shown improvement but remains inconsistent, especially against elite SEC competition. Their run defense is a particular weakness.
- Georgia has dominated the series in recent years, winning the last several matchups by double digits. Mississippi State has struggled to keep games close against Georgia.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Georgia’s depth and talent advantage remain intact.
- Game is in Starkville, but Georgia’s road performance in SEC play has been solid. Weather is expected to be clear, favoring an open, high-scoring game.
- Georgia is in the thick of the SEC title race and national playoff contention, while Mississippi State is playing for bowl eligibility and pride. Georgia’s motivation is at its peak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia Bulldogs: -345, Mississippi State Bulldogs: 275 | Georgia Bulldogs | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | Georgia Bulldogs: -9.5 -112, Mississippi State Bulldogs: 9.5 -108 | Georgia Bulldogs -9.5 | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Over/under | Over: 56.5 -110, Under: 56.5 -110 | Over 56.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia Bulldogs 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 56.5 30% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Georgia is the clear favorite and should cover the spread and win outright. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with Georgia’s offense exploiting Mississippi State’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Georgia 38, Mississippi State 24
