Match Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro
Game Overview
Marshall Thundering Herd (1-2) travels to face Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-2) at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. Both teams have struggled early in the season, with similar 1-2 records, but Marshall comes off a strong 38-7 win over Eastern Kentucky showing offensive improvement, while Middle Tennessee has been inconsistent at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marshall showed offensive resurgence last game with 38 points, led by QB Carlos Del Rio-Wilsonβs efficient passing and rushing. Middle Tennessee holds a mediocre 1-2 recent form, struggling both straight up and ATS. Defensively, Marshall has recorded 11 sacks and 3 interceptions this season, indicating solid pressure and coverage.
- In recent meetings, the underdog has won three of the last four times between these teams. Historically, Marshall has dominated games against non-AP ranked teams, winning eight of their last nine. Recent H2H trends suggest a tight competitive game.
- No major injury updates from the available data; key players such as Marshallβs Del Rio-Wilson and Middle Tennesseeβs starters appear available.
- Game played in Murfreesboro with mild weather (~82Β°F) and no rain forecasted. No significant travel disruption. Marshall has struggled on the road recently, losing four of its last five road games.
- Marshall looks to build on their dominant last win and improve their away record before a tough road game following this matchup. Middle Tennessee aims to defend home turf and break their losing trend in September.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Marshall: -155, Middle Tennessee: 130 | Marshall | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Marshall: -3 -108, Middle Tennessee: +3 -112 | Marshall -3 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over: 46.5 -110, Under: 46.5 -110 | Under 46.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Marshall Thundering Herd -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 46.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marshall Thundering Herd to win on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to stay under 46.5 points.
Predicted Score: Marshall 23 – Middle Tennessee 17