Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks Prediction
NCAAF in American Football
Match Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
Game Overview
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (4-3) visit Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-6) with Jacksonville State favored by 5.5 points. Jacksonville State has a stronger recent form and better offensive production, while Middle Tennessee is struggling with inconsistencies, especially on defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jacksonville State is 4-3 overall and 3-0 in conference, showing improved offense with 29+ points in recent wins. Middle Tennessee is 1-6, losing four straight but has been more competitive recently, including close losses by 3 and 2 points.
- No recent or significant head-to-head data available between these two teams for strong predictive value.
- No prominent injury reports impacting key players on either team available from current data sources.
- The game is indoors with mild 52Β°F weather and light rain increasing ball handling risks; Middle Tennessee is home but heavily underdog.
- Jacksonville State is motivated to maintain conference leadership and keep winning streak alive; Middle Tennessee is desperate to snap a losing streak on home turf.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | jacksonville_state: -220, middle_tennessee: +184 | Jacksonville State | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | jacksonville_state: -5.5 -115, middle_tennessee: +5.5 -105 | Jacksonville State -5.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over_54.5: -110, under_54.5: -110 | Over 54.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 54.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jacksonville State to win moneyline and cover the spread; game to go over 54.5 points
Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 31 – 21 Middle Tennessee