Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Florida International Panthers Prediction
NCAAF in American Football
Match Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Florida International Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
Game Overview
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders host Florida International Panthers in a Conference USA matchup on November 8, 2025. Both teams enter with losing records, FIU at 3-5 and Middle Tennessee at 1-7. The game is expected to be close, with FIU favored by 1.5 points and the over/under set at 51.5 points. The venue is a known home-field advantage for Middle Tennessee, and recent trends suggest a high-scoring affair.
Key Factors to Consider
- FIU has struggled offensively, averaging 22.3 points per game (ranked 112th) and allowing 29.9 points per game (ranked 105th). Their defense has given up at least 28 points in four of their last five games. Middle Tennessee is ranked near the bottom nationally in rushing (132nd) and red zone defense (130th), allowing 96% of opponents to score in the red zone. Both teams have poor recent form, but Middle Tennessee has shown some resilience at home.
- Middle Tennessee has won each of its last six home games against FIU. The home team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine meetings. FIU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams at Johnny Floyd Stadium.
- No major injuries reported for either team, but FIU may be without key player Jenkins, which could impact their offensive output.
- The weather is expected to be clear with no rain, which could favor a higher-scoring game. The game will be played at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, which has historically been a tough venue for visiting teams, especially FIU.
- Both teams are looking for a much-needed win to salvage their seasons. Middle Tennessee is motivated to end a losing streak and capitalize on their home-field advantage, while FIU seeks to break a long road losing streak in November.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida International Panthers: -110, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: -110 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Spread | Florida International Panthers: 1.5 -118, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: -1.5 -102 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +1.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110 | Over 51.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 15% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Middle Tennessee is favored to win at home, with a strong historical advantage and recent trends supporting their chances. The game is expected to be close, but Middle Tennessee's home-field advantage and FIU's poor road record in November suggest a Blue Raiders victory. The total points line is likely to go over, given both teams' defensive struggles and recent high-scoring matchups.
Predicted Score: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28 – 24 Florida International Panthers