Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Florida International Panthers Prediction
NCAAF in American Football
Match Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Florida International Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
Game Overview
Florida International Panthers (3-5 overall, 1-3 CUSA) visit Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-7 overall, 0-4 CUSA) in a Conference USA matchup. Both teams are struggling this season, with Middle Tennessee on a 5-game losing streak and FIU having lost their last two games. Historically, Middle Tennessee has dominated the last 6 meetings, winning 5, but FIU won the most recent matchup convincingly.
Key Factors to Consider
- FIU has a better record (3-5) compared to Middle Tennessee (1-7), showing slight superiority. Middle Tennessee is on a 5-game losing streak. FIU's recent form includes two consecutive losses but has won the last head-to-head game.
- In the last 6 matchups, Middle Tennessee leads 5-1, but FIU won the latest encounter 35-24 at home. This suggests a competitive matchup with possible momentum for FIU.
- No major injury information available that heavily favors either side, but Middle Tennessee’s overall team struggles imply possible depth issues.
- Game played at Middle Tennessee’s home stadium, which may provide a slight home-field advantage despite their poor overall performance. Weather conditions expected to be clear and 70°F with low wind.
- Middle Tennessee has motivation to avoid a winless conference record at home, but their poor recent form is a concern. FIU seeks to improve to a winning record and avenge their recent loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FIU: -110, Middle Tennessee: -110 | Florida International Panthers | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | FIU -1.5 (-118), Middle Tennessee +1.5 (-102) | Florida International Panthers -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5 -110, Under 51.5 -110 | Under 51.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida International Panthers 15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Florida International Panthers at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Florida International Panthers moneyline (-110) as the highest expected value play, expecting FIU to leverage better recent form and head-to-head momentum despite being away. Spread pick leans towards FIU -1.5 given matchup history and urgency. Total expected to go under 51.5 due to both teams' offensive struggles and recent low-scoring games.
Predicted Score: FIU 24 – Middle Tennessee 17