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Michigan State Spartans vs. Youngstown St Penguins Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI

Game Overview

This Week 3 NCAAF game features the undefeated Michigan State Spartans hosting the also undefeated Youngstown State Penguins. Michigan State is a strong FBS program while Youngstown State is a solid FCS team, making this a classic mismatch on paper.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan State is 2-0 with solid overall team strength but recent ATS form is mixed (1-4 ATS last 5). Youngstown State is 2-0 with dominant wins at FCS level, notably a 56-17 blowout in their last game. Michigan State has superior talent but has struggled to cover big spreads recently.
  • No recent notable head-to-head games between these teams as they belong to different divisions, so no H2H trends are relevant.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of kickoff, suggesting full strength squads.
  • Weather is clear and favorable (mid 70s, no rain), and the game is at Michigan State’s home stadium, which provides a strong home-field advantage.
  • Both teams are undefeated early in the season and motivated to keep perfect records, though Michigan State faces pressure to dominate a lower-tier FCS opponent, possibly influencing conservative game management.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan State: -2500, Youngstown State: +1100 Michigan State Spartans ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Michigan State: -23.5 -110, Youngstown State: +23.5 -110 Youngstown State +23.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 Under 52.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan State Spartans -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan State is expected to win comfortably but may struggle to cover the large -23.5 spread. The total points line at 52.5 is plausible given Michigan State's moderate offensive output and Youngstown State’s ability to score but limited by the mismatch in talent and pace.

Predicted Score: Michigan State 28 – Youngstown State 10


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Michigan State Spartans vs. Youngstown St Penguins Prediction

Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 7:30 PM UTC Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI Game Overview This Week 3 NCAAF game features the undefeated Michigan State Spartans hosting the also undefeated Youngstown State Penguins. Michigan State is a strong FBS program while Youngstown State […]

American Football Michigan State Spartans September 13, 2025 Youngstown St Penguins

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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada

Game Overview

The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-1) host the struggling Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (0-2) at Mackay Stadium. Nevada enters as a heavy favorite following a close win over Sacramento State, while Middle Tennessee is winless with defensive struggles and offensive inefficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nevada is 1-1 with a recent narrow win (20-17), showing competitive but inconsistent play. Middle Tennessee is 0-2, coming off a heavy 42-10 loss to Wisconsin, with poor offense averaging under 40 rushing yards per game and a defense allowing about 38 points and 389 yards per game.
  • Recent direct matchups favor Nevada, who have demonstrated more consistent performance against Middle Tennessee historically. Specific recent H2H data not available but overall trend supports Nevada dominance.
  • No major injury reports altering key personnel found in last updates for either team, suggesting lineups likely near full strength.
  • Home field advantage for Nevada at Mackay Stadium with favorable weather expected (77°F, no rain, light wind), supporting offensive effectiveness. Middle Tennessee faces fatigue and morale issues from a 5-game losing streak overall.
  • Nevada motivated to improve to 2-1 after a close opener, seeking to capitalize on home crowd and weaker opponent. Middle Tennessee under pressure after two losses, likely with low confidence and struggling on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nevada Wolf Pack: -355, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: +280 Nevada Wolf Pack ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Nevada Wolf Pack -9.5: -110, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +9.5: -110 Nevada Wolf Pack -9.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nevada Wolf Pack -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nevada to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -9.5 spread, and the total score to go over 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Nevada Wolf Pack 31 – Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21


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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Liberty Flames Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Liberty Flames – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, Ohio

Game Overview

Liberty Flames and Bowling Green Falcons both enter the matchup with 1-1 records, showing comparable recent performances. Liberty is favored by bookmakers (-6.5) and has a more prolific offense statistically, averaging 32 points per game compared to Bowling Green's 23. The total points line is set at 51.5, reflecting a potential moderately high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liberty's offense outpaces Bowling Green's with higher passing and rushing yards per game. Both teams' defenses allow roughly 20.5 points per game. Bowling Green demonstrated strong passing efficiency (75.9% completion) with Drew Pyne, whereas Liberty’s balanced attack is led by Ethan Vasko and Evan Dickens.
  • No recent detailed head-to-head data provided, but both teams are evenly matched at 1-1 this season. Liberty is the historical favorite in betting lines.
  • No significant injury reports available for key players, indicating both teams likely at full strength.
  • The game is played at Bowling Green’s home stadium with favorable weather conditions (81°F, no rain). Liberty travels as favorites but in less familiar territory.
  • Both teams are aiming to improve their 1-1 start. Liberty may have a confidence edge from higher scoring potential and the team motivation to assert dominance on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bowling Green Falcons: 195, Liberty Flames: -238 Liberty Flames ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bowling Green Falcons: -112, Liberty Flames: -108 Liberty Flames -6.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115 Under 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liberty Flames -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liberty Flames to win straight up, cover the -6.5 spread, and the total score to go under 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 28 – Bowling Green Falcons 20


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Miami Hurricanes vs. South Florida Bulls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Miami Hurricanes vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Game Overview

The No. 5 Miami Hurricanes (2-0) host the No. 18 South Florida Bulls (2-0) in a critical matchup with Miami favored by 17.5 points. Miami has shown dominance on defense and offense, averaging 36 points per game without turnovers, while South Florida is riding momentum from winning two straight against ranked opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miami has beaten Bethune-Cookman 45-3 and Notre Dame narrowly, showing both offensive firepower and strong defense. South Florida won tightly against Florida 18-16, demonstrating resilience but less scoring ability.
  • Historically, Miami dominates at home with 16 wins in their last 17 home games vs. South Florida. Recent H2H favors Miami's superior talent and experience.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups significantly for either team.
  • Game played at Miami's home stadium, Hard Rock Stadium, offering them crowd support and familiarity. The Bulls may face a challenging travel factor.
  • South Florida is highly motivated to prove themselves against a top-5 team and keep their unbeaten streak; Miami seeks to affirm dominance in the ACC and maintain their top-5 status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami -800, South Florida +550 Miami Hurricanes ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Miami -17.5 -105, South Florida +17.5 -115 South Florida Bulls +17.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 57.5 -108, Under 57.5 -112 Over 57.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Hurricanes -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 57.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami Hurricanes to win outright and cover the spread appears unlikely given Miami's coach Cristobal's poor home favorite ATS record. The safest highest EV single outcome bet is Miami moneyline, though with a large favorite price. Over 57.5 points is also plausible given Miami's offense and South Florida's ability to score some points.

Predicted Score: Miami Hurricanes 38 – South Florida Bulls 21


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Texas Longhorns vs. UTEP Miners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Texas Longhorns vs UTEP Miners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas

Game Overview

The Texas Longhorns, ranked No. 7 nationally, face the UTEP Miners in a Week 3 NCAAF contest. Texas enters as a dominant 41.5-point favorite with a strong offense and opportunistic defense, while UTEP has shown promise but is clearly outmatched.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas is averaging over 40 points per game with a balanced and high-powered offense and a defense capable of forcing turnovers. UTEP has a mixed ground game and struggles to defend disciplined, elite offenses.
  • Recent matchups heavily favor Texas, who control their home field and possess superior talent depth and execution.
  • No significant injuries reported for Texas; UTEP’s key skill position players remain intact but are young and developing.
  • The game being in Austin favors Texas with a strong home crowd and familiar environment. No adverse weather or other external conditions expected.
  • Texas seeks to assert dominance early in the season and demonstrate top-10 credentials. UTEP aims to prove resilience but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas -100000, UTEP +5000 Texas Moneyline ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Texas -41.5 -108, UTEP +41.5 -112 Texas -41.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 51.5 -105, Under 51.5 -115 Over 51.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Longhorns to cover the 41.5-point spread decisively

Predicted Score: Texas 48 – UTEP 7


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Missouri Tigers vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

Missouri Tigers, currently ranked No. 25 and undefeated at 2-0, host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, who hold a 1-1 record. Missouri’s strong offense and defense, combined with home-field advantage and recent dominating performances, make them heavy favorites. Louisiana has shown some offensive potential but lacks experience against Power Five opponents like Missouri.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri has displayed balanced offensive efficiency and a stout defense, winning their last game 42-31. Louisiana managed a solid 34-10 win recently but against a weaker opponent; their defense is likely to struggle against Missouri’s multi-faceted attack.
  • Missouri has historically dominated this matchup, with Louisiana rarely competing closely especially when Missouri is home and in form.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact the game.
  • Missouri’s home venue at Faurot Field is known for a strong home advantage with vocal support, creating a challenging environment for visiting teams.
  • Missouri aims to stay undefeated and build momentum for the season ahead, while Louisiana faces a tough road challenge that may dampen their motivation given the disparity in talent and ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline missouri: -4500, louisiana: +1700 Missouri Tigers ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread missouri: -27.5 -102, louisiana: +27.5 -118 Missouri Tigers -27.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over: 47.5 -108, under: 47.5 -112 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Missouri Tigers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers to win decisively and cover the large spread, with the game projecting an above-average total score given Missouri’s offensive firepower.

Predicted Score: Missouri 44 – Louisiana 7


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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Game Overview

Iowa State Cyclones enter as heavy favorites against Arkansas State Red Wolves, who have shown inconsistencies early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State is undefeated at 3-0, with a strong defensive showing allowing 20.5 points per game, and a balanced offense led by QB Rocco Becht. Arkansas State is 1-1, recently suffering a heavy loss (56-14) to Arkansas Razorbacks.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited; Iowa State's higher ranking and confidence from recent wins against quality opponents gives them a strong mental edge.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would majorly affect game outcome.
  • Game played at Arkansas State’s home venue with 92°F and no rain, which may slightly favor the home team, but likely minimal impact given Iowa State’s form.
  • Iowa State, ranked No. 14, motivated to maintain unbeaten streak and build momentum for tougher upcoming matches; Arkansas State aims to bounce back but faces steep odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +850, away: -1450 Iowa State Cyclones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 Iowa State -20.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 55.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State to win, cover the spread, and the total points to go under 55.5

Predicted Score: Iowa State thirty-four – Arkansas State eleven


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Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs USC Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana

Game Overview

The USC Trojans (2-0) visit the Purdue Boilermakers (2-0) in a key Big Ten clash with USC heavily favored. USC is coming off dominant wins and has shown superior offensive efficiency, while Purdue has solid but less explosive performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • USC has demonstrated offensive explosiveness with wins of 59-20 and 73-13, showing strong passing and scoring ability without turnovers. Purdue also undefeated but with less dominant wins (34-17), suggesting a clear gap in scoring capability.
  • Recent H2H meetings show USC typically holds the edge, and the betting markets imply a 20.5 point favorite status on USC, underscoring past dominance and current form advantages.
  • No significant injuries reported for key USC players like QB Jayden Maiava, who leads with high completion rates and zero interceptions. Purdue’s roster appears healthy but lacks star impact players comparable to USC’s.
  • Home venue advantage to Purdue at Ross-Ade Stadium, but likely insufficient against USC’s superior talent and form. Weather and other conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Both teams are 2-0 and motivated to stay undefeated early in the season; USC’s aim to extend dominant showings and Purdue to prove themselves against a top opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline USC -1800 / Purdue +920 USC Trojans ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread Purdue +21.5 -120 / USC -21.5 -102 USC Trojans -21.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 58.5 -110 / Under 58.5 -110 Over 58.5 points ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline USC Trojans -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans to win moneyline, cover the -21.5 spread, and the game to go over 58.5 points

Predicted Score: USC Trojans 41 – Purdue Boilermakers 19


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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Pittsburgh Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Panthers enter this Backyard Brawl as 7-point favorites over the West Virginia Mountaineers, who are underdogs at home following a 1-1 start. Pittsburgh is undefeated at 2-0 with strong recent form, whereas West Virginia has struggled offensively and suffered injuries to key skill players.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pittsburgh has convincingly won their last game 45-17, showing offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. West Virginia lost 17-10, demonstrating offensive struggles and a vulnerable line.
  • Historically, Pittsburgh has had the upper hand in recent clashes, reflected in market odds and implied winning percentages, with Pittsburgh heavily favored.
  • West Virginia is missing key offensive contributors including starting quarterback issues, key RB Jahiem White, and WR Jaden Bray, limiting their scoring potential. Pittsburgh reports no major injuries impacting their starting units.
  • The game is played at West Virginia's home field, providing some home crowd advantage, but insufficient to offset Pittsburgh's current strength and form.
  • West Virginia seeks redemption and revenge, which may spur a competitive effort, but Pittsburgh's momentum and confident start give them psychological and tactical edges.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +225, away: -278 Pittsburgh Panthers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Pittsburgh: -108, West Virginia: -112 Pittsburgh Panthers -7 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 57.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pittsburgh Panthers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 57.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 57.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pittsburgh Panthers moneyline win; Pittsburgh to cover the -7 spread; Total points under 57.5

Predicted Score: Pittsburgh Panthers 31 – West Virginia Mountaineers 19


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North Texas Mean Green vs. Washington State Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas

Game Overview

Both North Texas Mean Green and Washington State Cougars enter the game undefeated at 2-0. North Texas has shown strong offensive output with a 51-0 blowout and a close 33-30 win, while Washington State has allowed fewer points defensively in their recent 36-13 victory. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high total points projection.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Texas averages 48 points per game with balanced passing and rushing offense, holding opponents to 15 points per game. Washington State averages 24.5 points per game, excels defensively allowing only 11.5 points per game, and relies more on passing yards. Washington State has struggled to cover recent spreads, while North Texas is strong at home as favorites.
  • Limited recent direct matchups; no recent H2H data strongly favors either side. North Texas home advantage and recent form against similar opponents give them the edge in this matchup.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team, so both teams are presumed healthy.
  • Game played at North Texas home stadium; travel and hostile environment may slightly favor the Mean Green. Weather is expected to be typical for Denton, Texas in September, unlikely to impact play significantly.
  • Both teams 2-0, early season momentum is important. North Texas looks to maintain home dominance and continue strong offensive performances. Washington State aims to establish themselves as top contenders and prove oddsmakers wrong despite underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -230, away: +190 North Texas Mean Green ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -108, away: -112 North Texas -6 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Texas Mean Green 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Mean Green to cover the 6-point spread and win the game outright, with the total going over 58.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 35 – Washington State Cougars 26


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