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Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan

Game Overview

A Big Ten basement battle with postseason hopes on the line for both teams. Both squads enter with 3-6 records and are desperate for a win to salvage their seasons. The game features inconsistent quarterback play, shaky offensive lines, and defenses capable of forcing field goals. Weather is expected to be cold and windy, favoring a low-scoring, physical contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan State is 3-2 SU in their last 5 but 1-4 ATS in that span. Penn State is 2-7 ATS overall and 1-5 ATS at home. Both teams have struggled offensively, with Penn State averaging 45.2 points per game on the road and Michigan State averaging 49.9 overall. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games despite being 0-5 SU, indicating they've covered as underdogs.
  • No recent H2H data provided, but both teams are evenly matched in talent and motivation for this matchup.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Mid-November in East Lansing brings cold, windy conditions, which historically favor low-scoring, defensive games. Spartan Stadium has not been a strong home-field advantage for Michigan State ATS (1-7 ATS in last 8 home games).
  • Both teams need a win to keep postseason hopes alive, but neither is playing for anything beyond a forgettable bowl game. Michigan State, as the home underdog, may have a slight edge in desperation and crowd support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 235, away: -290 Penn State Nittany Lions Not available
Spread home: 7.5, away: -7.5 Michigan State Spartans +7.5 Not available
Over/under over: 48.5, under: 48.5 Under 48.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penn State Nittany Lions -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 40%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penn State wins a close, low-scoring game, but Michigan State covers the spread due to their recent ATS success as underdogs and the tough weather conditions.

Predicted Score: Penn State 24, Michigan State 21


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Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction

Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-15 Time: 8:30 PM UTC Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan Game Overview A Big Ten basement battle with postseason hopes on the line for both teams. Both squads enter with 3-6 records and are desperate for a win to […]

American Football Michigan State Spartans November 15, 2025 Penn State Nittany Lions

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Florida International Panthers vs. Liberty Flames Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Florida International Panthers vs Liberty Flames – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

The Liberty Flames (4-5) visit the Florida International Panthers (4-5) in a closely matched Conference USA game. Liberty is favored by 3 points with a total points line around 51.5. Both teams have similar records and moderate offensive production, making this a competitive contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liberty averages 23.3 points per game (ranked 106th nationally) while allowing 22.4 points (ranked 46th). Florida International scores slightly more at 26 points per game (rank 86th) but allows more points defensively at 29.9 (rank 99th). Both teams have similar turnover margins. Recent form favors Florida International with a convincing 56-30 win in their last game versus Liberty’s narrow 21-17 loss.
  • The teams have a balanced historical matchup with close recent meetings. Liberty is favored but Florida International has covered spreads frequently against similar competition this season.
  • No major publicized injuries for either team affecting key positions have been reported leading up to this game.
  • The game takes place at Florida International's home stadium in Miami with warm, calm weather (~75°F), conditions favoring offensive play. Public betting trends show more support for Florida International on spread and moneyline despite official odds favoring Liberty.
  • Both teams are 4-5 and seeking a winning record late in the season, increasing competitive intensity. Florida International’s recent strong performance and home advantage may elevate motivation slightly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +124, away: -148 Liberty Flames ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: +3 -112, away: -3 -108 Florida International Panthers +3 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 51.5 -115, under: 51.5 -105 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liberty Flames -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liberty Flames to win outright on the moneyline with confidence that their defense and more efficient offense will be enough to secure a narrow victory despite Florida International’s strong home run and recent win.

Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 27, Florida International Panthers 24


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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, North Carolina

Game Overview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-3) host North Carolina Tar Heels (4-5) in an ACC matchup where Wake Forest is favored by 6.5 points. The total points line is set at 38.5, reflecting a moderately low-scoring expectation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wake Forest is currently 6-3 overall and 3-3 in ACC play, showing stronger recent form, especially at home. North Carolina is 4-5 overall and 2-3 in conference, demonstrating struggles on both sides of the ball. Wake Forest has a more consistent offense and defense and has covered the spread well in recent road games.
  • Wake Forest and North Carolina have a competitive but favorable recent history for Wake Forest, who had a 67-68% win probability projected before the game. Historical matchups favor Wake Forest slightly, particularly at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would notably affect this matchup according to available recent reports.
  • The weather forecast predicts mild conditions (~67°F) with no rain or adverse weather to impact play. Wake Forest benefits from home-field advantage in Winston-Salem.
  • Wake Forest is motivated to solidify their ACC standing and improve their record, whereas North Carolina, with a losing record, faces pressure but might have less momentum. Wake Forest’s recent slight form advantage and home environment add to their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wake Forest -220, North Carolina +184 Wake Forest ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Wake Forest -6.5 (-105), North Carolina +6.5 (-115) Wake Forest -6.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 38.5 -110, Under 38.5 -110 Over 38.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 38.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 38.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win straight up and cover the spread; expect a moderately low scoring game slightly over 38.5 points.

Predicted Score: Wake Forest 24 – North Carolina 14


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Tennessee Volunteers vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (6-3) host the New Mexico State Aggies (3-6) at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee is a heavy favorite with a massive spread and a moderately high total set for scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tennessee has a strong offense averaging 43.6 points per game (4th nationally) and a robust defense allowing just 31.1 points. New Mexico State struggles offensively (21.3 PPG) and defensively (25.2 PPG allowed), with an overall weaker record and lower rankings.
  • Historical data favors Tennessee heavily, and Tennessee has consistently covered large spreads against New Mexico State in past matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported for key Tennessee players; New Mexico State's roster health shows no impactful absences, but depth is a concern.
  • The game is at Tennessee’s home stadium under favorable weather conditions (67°F, no rain, low wind), supporting Tennessee’s high-powered offense.
  • Tennessee is motivated to maintain a strong SEC showing and secure bowl eligibility. New Mexico State is underdogs with limited motivation after a tough season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tennessee -2500 / New Mexico State +1200 Tennessee ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Tennessee -39.5 (-112) / New Mexico State +39.5 (-108) Tennessee -39.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 61.5 (-112) / Under 61.5 (-108) Under 61.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 61.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee Volunteers to win outright and cover the heavy spread; the total points scored will go under 61.5.

Predicted Score: Tennessee 45 – New Mexico State 10


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Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Yulman Stadium

Game Overview

Tulane Green Wave (7-2) host Florida Atlantic Owls (4-5) in a pivotal AAC matchup. Tulane enters as heavy favorites, with the sportsbooks pricing them at -900 on the moneyline and -17.5 on the spread. The over/under is set at 63.5 points, reflecting a high-scoring expectation but recent trends suggest a lower output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tulane has won five straight games and is 5-0 in their last five outings. They have covered the spread in three of their last five, but their home totals have gone under in three of their last four games. Florida Atlantic has struggled, going 4-5 overall and failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games. Their offense averages 30.3 points per game, while Tulane’s defense allows just 25.5 points per game.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups show Tulane dominating, with a 90% implied probability of victory. The last meeting saw Tulane win by a significant margin, and their recent form suggests a similar outcome.
  • No major injuries reported for either team, but Tulane’s depth and experience give them a clear edge in key positions.
  • The game is played at Yulman Stadium, where Tulane has a strong home record. Weather is expected to be clear, with no significant impact on play.
  • Tulane is fighting for a conference title and a potential bowl game, while Florida Atlantic is out of contention and likely to be less motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -900, away: 610 Tulane Green Wave Not available
Spread home: -17.5, away: 17.5 Tulane Green Wave -17.5 Not available
Over/under over: 63.5, under: 63.5 Under 63.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tulane Green Wave -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 63.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tulane Green Wave to win by more than 17.5 points and the game to finish under 63.5 points.

Predicted Score: Tulane 38, Florida Atlantic 20


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East Carolina Pirates vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC

Game Overview

The East Carolina Pirates (6-3) host the Memphis Tigers (8-2) in a highly competitive AAC matchup featuring East Carolina's strong 15th-ranked scoring defense versus Memphis's 15th-ranked scoring offense. The Pirates are slight favorites by 2.5 points at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • East Carolina has a solid defense allowing 17.3 PPG, while Memphis averages 37.1 PPG on a top-15 offense. East Carolina is 5-4 ATS and Memphis 8-2 straight up so far.
  • Recent meetings have been competitive, with close scorelines expected. Currently, East Carolina benefits from home advantage with slight edge in ATS records.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, suggesting both squads are near full strength.
  • Game is at East Carolina’s home field with mild weather (67F, no rain), which favors the home team's comfort. Memphis is slightly underdog in a hostile environment.
  • Memphis seeks to maintain their high ranking and continue their strong season, while East Carolina looks to leverage home advantage to upset a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline East Carolina -142, Memphis +120 East Carolina ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread East Carolina -2.5 -115, Memphis +2.5 -105 Memphis +2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 58.5 -110, Under 58.5 -110 Under 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline East Carolina Pirates 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 58.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 58.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina to win narrowly, covering the spread with a moderately lower combined score under the total line.

Predicted Score: East Carolina 28, Memphis 24


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knights Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs UCF Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

The No. 9 Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-1) host the UCF Knights (4-5) in a highly one-sided Big 12 matchup. Texas Tech boasts a top-20 passing offense and a defense that allows less than 1 point per drive, while UCF struggles with a losing record and a weaker overall defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech is 9-1 overall and 6-1 in conference, with the 18th-ranked passing offense and a defense ranked second best in points allowed per drive nationally. UCF has a losing record (4-5), with a weak conference record (1-5), and a below average defense in both passing and points allowed.
  • No recent direct H2H data available, but Texas Tech is heavily favored based on season performance and rankings.
  • No significant injury reports for either team available as of current information.
  • Texas Tech plays at home in Jones AT&T Stadium, a venue where they are historically strong. No adverse weather or external disruptions reported.
  • Texas Tech is fighting to maintain top conference positioning and ranking, highly motivated. UCF appears to be an underdog with little to play for beyond pride, likely affecting their competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech -3500, UCF +1400 Texas Tech ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Texas Tech -23.5 -120, UCF +23.5 -102 Texas Tech -23.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -105 Under 47.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech dominates UCF with a large margin, covering the heavy spread and keeping total points under the line given their defensive strength and UCF’s offensive struggles.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech 38 – UCF 10


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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL

Game Overview

Big Ten conference matchup between the Illinois Fighting Illini (6-3) hosting the Maryland Terrapins (4-5). Illinois enters as a heavy favorite, laying 14.5 points with a moneyline of -750, reflecting their superior record and home-field advantage. Maryland faces a significant uphill battle as a double-digit underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Illinois has been in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and covering the spread in all 4 of those wins. They are 4-1 ATS at home this season. Maryland has struggled, sitting at 4-5 overall with a 0-3 ATS record as an underdog. Illinois averages 40.6 implied points at home versus Maryland's 28.8 on the road, indicating a significant talent gap.
  • No recent head-to-head history provided in available data, suggesting this is a conference matchup between teams without significant recent rivalry context.
  • No injury information available in provided search results.
  • Weather forecast shows 68°F with 0% rain chance and 16 mph wind in Champaign, creating favorable playing conditions. Game will be broadcast on FS1 with national exposure. Illinois plays at home with crowd support.
  • Illinois is in playoff contention with a 6-3 record and recent winning streak, playing with confidence. Maryland must win to improve bowl eligibility chances at 4-5, creating motivation but limited expectation given the talent disparity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois -750 | Maryland +530 Illinois Fighting Illini ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Illinois -14.5 -110 | Maryland +14.5 -110 Illinois -14.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110 | Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Illinois Fighting Illini -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Illinois dominates at home, covering the spread comfortably in a low-scoring affair. The Illini's defensive strength and home form should overwhelm a struggling Maryland team that cannot generate sufficient offense.

Predicted Score: Illinois 31, Maryland 10


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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Sooners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Game Overview

The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide host the No. 11 Oklahoma Sooners in a high-stakes NCAA football matchup. Alabama enters as favorite both on the moneyline and spread, with the total set near 45.5 points, reflecting expectations of a competitive but controlled scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alabama holds an 8-1 record with a very strong home advantage (5-0 ATS at home) supported by the 14th-ranked passing offense. Oklahoma is 7-2 overall with a solid defense ranked 23rd against the pass but slightly weaker than Alabama's attack.
  • Recent matchups favor Alabama with strong performances vs Oklahoma; historical trends show Alabama's ability to cover moderate spreads at home against this team.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key offensive or defensive starters on either side, preserving both teams' depth and capabilities.
  • Home-field advantage for Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium is significant, with crowd support expected to influence momentum.
  • Alabama aims to consolidate a top 4 national ranking; Oklahoma seeks to break into the top 10. Both teams are highly motivated, but Alabama’s superior home convenience and recent form give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide: -225, Oklahoma Sooners: +185 Alabama Crimson Tide ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Alabama Crimson Tide -6: -108, Oklahoma Sooners +6: -112 Alabama Crimson Tide -6 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -112, Under 45.5: -108 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alabama Crimson Tide to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -6 spread, and the game to go over 45.5 points.

Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 31 – Oklahoma Sooners 20


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Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC

Game Overview

ACC conference matchup between No. 20 Virginia Cavaliers (8-2) and Duke Blue Devils (5-4). Virginia enters as a road underdog despite their superior record, facing a Duke team that has struggled but possesses a top-20 offensive unit. This game represents a critical juncture for both teams with playoff implications tightening.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Duke has won 3 of last 5 games but is 2-3 ATS in that span, indicating inconsistent performance relative to market expectations. Virginia has won 8 of 10 games but posted just 9 points against Wake Forest in their most recent outing—their worst offensive performance of the season. Duke ranks 9th in net points per drive and averages over 35 PPG; Virginia's defense ranks 95th in points per quality drive, a critical mismatch. Duke's 3-2 record in road games ATS suggests adequate road performance, while the totals have gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games.
  • Virginia leads the series 2-1 in their last three matchups and covered the spread twice in those games. However, Duke has been outscored by 30 points in its last three meetings against Virginia, indicating historical struggles in this rivalry despite current form divergence.
  • No significant injury information available in current reports.
  • Virginia has benefited from a lighter schedule but now faces a Duke team with a more rigorous strength of schedule. Recency bias suggests both teams are in bounce-back mode after poor recent performances (UConn loss for Duke, Wake Forest loss for Virginia), but Duke's offensive firepower and defensive efficiency metrics are substantially superior.
  • Duke faces pressure to salvage a disappointing season at home. Virginia carries momentum from their 8-2 record but must prove their recent slump was an anomaly rather than a sign of deteriorating form. Home-field advantage and the need to establish legitimacy as a playoff contender favor Duke.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Duke -180 / Virginia +152 Duke Blue Devils ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Duke -4.5 -105 / Virginia +4.5 -115 Duke -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 58.5 -110 / Under 58.5 -110 Over 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Duke Blue Devils 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Duke Blue Devils win 31-24. The Blue Devils' elite offensive efficiency and superior defensive metrics at stopping quality drives will exploit Virginia's defensive vulnerabilities. Despite Virginia's regular-season record, their recent offensive collapse and defensive ranking suggest they lack the consistency to keep pace with Duke's high-octane attack.

Predicted Score: Duke 31, Virginia 24


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