Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee
Game Overview
Both teams entered the game with strong rushing offenses and identical 6-1 records, with South Florida slight favorites at -4.5 and a total around 62.5 points. South Florida has the #18 rushing offense and 7th-ranked scoring offense; Memphis is ranked #15 in rushing offense and #14 overall offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Florida is coming off a dominant 48-13 win, showing potent offense and solid defense. Memphis recently lost 31-24 to UAB but has a strong offensive ranking and decent form with a 4-1 ATS record in last 5 games and good home performance against the spread.
- No recent direct H2H data provided; both similarly ranked and matched teams from the same conference with comparable records.
- No specific major injuries reported for either team, allowing both to deploy strongest lineups.
- Game played in Memphis with good weather forecast (65Β°F, no rain, light wind), favoring no environmental disruption. No unusual distractions or travel issues apparent.
- Both teams are contending in the American conference with 6-1 records, making this a pivotal game for conference standings and potential rankings. Slight edge in motivation to South Florida as favorites coming off big momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis +164, South Florida -196 | South Florida Bulls | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Memphis +4.5 (-106), South Florida -4.5 (-114) | South Florida Bulls -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 62.5 (-104), Under 62.5 (-118) | Under 62.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Florida Bulls -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 62.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 62.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Florida Bulls moneyline win
Predicted Score: South Florida 31 – Memphis 26