Match Analysis: Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: SECU Stadium, College Park, Maryland
Game Overview
Maryland Terrapins host a strong Nebraska Cornhuskers team in a Big Ten matchup. Both teams have excellent pass offenses and defenses but Maryland's defense excels in limiting scoring and forcing turnovers. Nebraska has a top-ranked scoring offense but struggles in run defense. Maryland is a 6.5-point underdog at home with moneyline +215 vs Nebraska -260.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nebraska is 4-1 with an 11th-ranked scoring offense (42.4 ppg) and elite pass offense (320.6 yards/game) but poor rush defense (89th rank). Maryland is 4-1 with top-11 ranked defense in scoring and elite defensive efficiency metrics, forcing 10 turnovers in 5 games.
- Recent matchups show a balanced contest with stylistic similarities leaning on passing offenses and strong pass defenses. No dominant winner historically, but Maryland has shown ability to cover moderate spreads at home.
- No major injuries publicly reported affecting starting QBs or key defensive units for either team.
- Game at Marylandβs home stadium (SECU) provides home field advantage, potentially crucial in a close contest. BTN TV coverage and mid-afternoon kickoff aids fan engagement.
- Both teams have strong motivation with 4-1 records and Big Ten contention on the line. Maryland aims to maintain undefeated home form while Nebraska looks to assert dominance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Maryland: +215, Nebraska: -260 | Maryland Terrapins | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Maryland: -102 (6.5 points), Nebraska: -120 (-6.5 points) | Maryland Terrapins +6.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over: -105 (48.5 points), Under: -115 (48.5 points) | Under 48.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nebraska Cornhuskers 80% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 48.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers at 80% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Maryland Terrapins moneyline for highest expected value due to strong defensive profile vs Nebraskaβs rushing weakness and home field advantage, despite being underdogs on the spread and moneyline. Take under 48.5 points, considering strong defensive units and ball control tendencies.
Predicted Score: Maryland Terrapins 24 – Nebraska Cornhuskers 21