Match Analysis: Maryland Terrapins vs Indiana Hoosiers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: SECU Stadium, College Park, Maryland
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers (8-0), ranked No. 2 nationally with one of the best scoring defenses, face the Maryland Terrapins (4-3) at home. Indiana is a strong 21-point favorite, looking to maintain an undefeated season while Maryland is trying to halt a three-game losing streak in Big Ten play.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana has dominated most opponents this season, winning seven of eight games by double-digit margins and recently routing UCLA 56-6. Maryland started strong at 4-0 but has dropped three straight conference matches, including a close 20-17 loss to UCLA.
- Indiana leads the historic series 8-5 and won the previous meeting 42-28 last season en route to a College Football Playoff appearance.
- No major injury reports impacting either team are currently noted in available data; both teams appear near full strength.
- The game is at Maryland's home stadium, but Indiana has shown strong road performance and clear superiority.
- Indiana aims for a 9-0 start for the second consecutive season under coach Curt Cignetti, historically unprecedented for the program. Maryland faces pressure to end their Big Ten skid and avoid another losing conference season under coach Mike Locksley.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana -1650 / Maryland +950 | Indiana Hoosiers | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Indiana -21 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -21 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 50.5 (-112) / Under 50.5 (-108) | Under 50.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana Hoosiers to cover the -21 spread, moneyline win, and a total under 50.5 points
Predicted Score: Indiana Hoosiers 31 – Maryland Terrapins 10