Match Analysis: Maryland Terrapins vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: SECU Stadium, College Park, Maryland
Game Overview
Maryland Terrapins host the Florida Atlantic Owls in their season opener at SECU Stadium. Maryland enters as heavy favorites with a significant -14.5 point spread, reflecting their stronger conference pedigree and home advantage. Both teams have new dynamics to adjust to, notably Maryland with a new quarterback and revamped defense. The over/under is high at 61.5 points, indicating expectations for an open offensive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maryland finished 4-8 last season with one conference win, showing struggles on defense allowing 30.4 points per game and an average of 23.7 points scored. Florida Atlantic had a lower scoring average last year and is perceived as the underdog due to Maryland's stronger overall talent and home field.
- Recent direct matchups information is limited, but Maryland's membership in a Power 5 conference gives them an advantage in overall talent and competition level compared to Florida Atlantic.
- No major injury reports impacting starting players on either side were noted, though Maryland's offensive questions stem more from personnel turnover than injury.
- Playing at home at SECU Stadium benefits Maryland with crowd support and familiar conditions. Early season timing means both teams may have some initial adjustment challenges.
- Maryland aims to start strong under a new QB and defensive scheme to overcome last year's poor performance, while Florida Atlantic looks to prove themselves against a Power 5 opponent as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -650, away: 470 | Maryland Terrapins | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Maryland Terrapins -14.5: -110, Florida Atlantic Owls +14.5: -110 | Maryland Terrapins -14.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | over 61.5: -110, under 61.5: -110 | Under 61.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Maryland Terrapins -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 61.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Maryland Terrapins moneyline and cover -14.5 points; total points under 61.5
Predicted Score: Maryland Terrapins 31 – Florida Atlantic Owls 16