Match Analysis: Marshall Thundering Herd vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia
Game Overview
Sun Belt conference matchup between Marshall Thundering Herd and Texas State Bobcats both holding 3-3 overall records. Texas State enters as slight favorite on the road. Both teams show balanced but inconsistent form this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas State dropped their latest game 48-41 to Troy, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Marshall won last week convincingly 48-24 over Old Dominion. Marshall also has better ATS record (4-2) versus Texas State who is 1-5 ATS as favorite.
- Limited recent H2H data available. Both teams are 3-3 overall and 0-2 (Texas State) vs 1-1 (Marshall) in conference play, indicating a fairly even matchup with slight edge to Marshall at home.
- No major injuries reported for either side that could drastically affect starting lineup or key positions.
- Home field advantage for Marshall at Joan C. Edwards Stadium is notable given Texas State's struggles on the road. Weather and travel do not appear adverse.
- Both teams aim to improve Sun Belt standings. Marshall likely more motivated as home team and coming off dominant win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Marshall: +124, Texas State: -148 | Marshall | β β β ββ 63% |
Spread | Marshall +3: -112, Texas State -3: -108 | Marshall +3 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 65.5: -115, Under 65.5: -105 | Over 65.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Marshall Thundering Herd 23% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 65.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marshall moneyline win
Predicted Score: Marshall 37 – Texas State 32