Match Analysis: LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Game Overview
LSU, ranked No. 3 and undefeated at 2-0, hosts Florida, who are 1-1, in an SEC matchup. LSU has shown strong defensive performances and a balanced offense, while Florida shows offensive explosiveness but suffered a recent close loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- LSU averaged 20 points per game with a strong defense allowing just about 8.5 PPG. Florida averages more offensively (38.5 PPG) but allowed 18 points in their last loss. LSU top QB has high completion with solid yardage, and Floridaβs offense is potent but untested against strong defenses.
- Recent matchups favor LSU, and the home venue Tiger Stadium further amplifies their advantage. Recent consensus and models prefer LSU by about 7.5 points.
- No critical injury reports affecting key starters for either team; rosters appear healthy consistent with latest data.
- The game is at LSUβs home stadium with strong crowd support. Kickoff at primetime slot on ABC increases exposure and motivation for LSU. Weather conditions expected to be clear, favoring both offenses.
- LSU aims to maintain unbeaten status and high ranking while Florida looks to rebound from recent loss and prove its strength.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | LSU: -278, Florida: 225 | LSU | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | LSU: -105, Florida: -115 | LSU -7.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Under 47.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | LSU Tigers -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 47.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
LSU to win straight on Moneyline, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to stay Under 47.5 total points.
Predicted Score: LSU 20, Florida 11