Match Analysis: Louisville Cardinals vs James Madison Dukes - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-05
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky
Game Overview
The Louisville Cardinals host the James Madison Dukes in a Week 2 NCAAF matchup, with Louisville as a strong favorite following dominant Week 1 performances from both teams. Louisville aims to maintain its undefeated record against James Madison while asserting itself early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams started 1-0; Louisville won 51-17 over Eastern Kentucky, showing explosive offense but with some discipline issues. James Madison defeated Weber State 45-10, demonstrating solid offense and defense.
- Louisville leads their only prior meeting, a 34-10 win in 2022, indicating a history of dominance over James Madison.
- No major reported injuries impacting starters for either team as of early September 2025.
- Game played at Louisville's home stadium under evening conditions; crowd support and familiarity favor Louisville.
- Louisville motivated to go 2-0 for the third straight season and keep perfect record vs James Madison; James Madison looks to assert themselves in a Power Five environment after a successful previous season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Louisville: -575, James Madison: +425 | Louisville | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Louisville -13.5: -115, James Madison +13.5: -105 | Louisville -13.5 | β β β β β 80% |
Over/under | Over 58.5: -108, Under 58.5: -112 | Over 58.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Louisville Cardinals -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 58.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisville to win outright on the moneyline, cover the spread, and push the total over 58.5 points.
Predicted Score: Louisville 38, James Madison 20
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