Match Analysis: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dix Stadium, Kent, Ohio
Game Overview
Central Michigan Chippewas (6-4) visit Kent State Golden Flashes (4-6) in a pivotal MAC conference matchup. Central Michigan enters as heavy favorites, with the spread set at 7.5 points and the over/under at 46.5. Both teams have shown offensive volatility, with Central Michigan boasting a strong ATS record and Kent State struggling to cover as underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Central Michigan has won 7 of their last 10 games against the spread and enters on a high note after a 38-19 win over Buffalo. Kent State has split their ATS record at 5-5 and has seen totals go over in 3 of their last 5 games, but are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall and 2-4 ATS in road games.
- Recent H2H data is limited, but Central Michigan has dominated the series in recent years, with Kent State failing to cover in most matchups.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Game is played at Dix Stadium, Kent State's home field, but weather is favorable with no precipitation expected. Central Michigan has shown resilience on the road, while Kent State's home ATS record is strong (3-1-0), but their overall performance is inconsistent.
- Central Michigan is fighting for a higher MAC bowl position, while Kent State is out of contention and may lack postseason motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 270, away: -330 | Central Michigan Chippewas | Not available |
| Spread | home: 7.5, away: -7.5 | Kent State Golden Flashes +7.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 46.5, under: 46.5 | Over 46.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Michigan Chippewas -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 46.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Central Michigan covers the spread and the game goes over the total, with the Chippewas winning outright but Kent State keeping it competitive.
Predicted Score: Central Michigan 29, Kent State 24