Match Analysis: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dix Stadium, Kent, Ohio
Game Overview
The Bowling Green Falcons (3-4) visit the Kent State Golden Flashes (2-5) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Bowling Green is favored by 7 points with a moneyline of -285, while Kent State is the underdog at +230. The total line is set at 47.5 points. Both teams have struggled this season, but Bowling Green has had slightly better recent form and defensive metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bowling Green holds a 3-4 record with recent losses but showed competitiveness against Toledo in a 28-23 victory. Kent State's 2-5 record includes heavy defeats and a significant recent loss to Toledo. Bowling Green averages 20 points per game while allowing 25.6, whereas Kent State scores 17.9 and yields 38.7 points per game.
- Kent State has a poor recent record against conference opponents, losing 18 of their last 19. The favorite has won 30 of the last 31 meetings. Bowling Green has also had success in key recent MAC matchups.
- No specific injury updates available for key players from either team at this time, suggesting relative health for both squads.
- The game is played at Kent State's home stadium with about 50Β°F and negligible weather impact. Public betting heavily favors Kent State on the spread but the moneyline market favors Bowling Green.
- Bowling Green is seeking to climb the MAC standings and bounce back from recent losses, while Kent State looks to avoid deepening its losing streak, though their motivation may be lower given their season record and heavy defeats.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -285 | Bowling Green Falcons | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | -115 | Bowling Green Falcons -7 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 47.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bowling Green Falcons 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 47.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bowling Green Falcons moneyline
Predicted Score: Bowling Green 24, Kent State 14