Match Analysis: Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Fifth Third Stadium at Walens Family Field, Kennesaw, GA
Game Overview
Kennesaw State Owls (2-2) host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-3) in a Conference USA matchup. The Owls come off two consecutive wins, demonstrating strong offensive performances, notably by QB Amari Odom who set a school record for total offense last game. The Blue Raiders have struggled with a 1-3 start and will look to improve on the road against a confident Kennesaw team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kennesaw State has won their last two games, showcasing a balanced attack and solid defense. Middle Tennessee is 1-3, indicating struggles especially against stronger opponents. Kennesaw's QB Amari Odom's record-setting performance (409 total yards in last game) highlights their offensive capability.
- Historically limited direct matchups available, but recent form favors Kennesaw State. Both teams are new to Conference USA and building conference records.
- No major injury reports were found affecting starters on either side ahead of this game.
- Game played at home for Kennesaw State, which holds a 2-0 home record this season. Weather and attendance factors not specified but typically favorable for the home side in September in Georgia.
- Kennesaw State looks to capitalize on momentum entering conference play. Middle Tennessee aims to rebound from a disappointing start and avoid deepening the losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | kennesaw_state_owls: -298, middle_tennessee_blue_raiders: 240 | Kennesaw State Owls to win | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | kennesaw_state_owls: -7.5 -110, middle_tennessee_blue_raiders: +7.5 -110 | Kennesaw State to cover the -7.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Over/under | over: 53.5 -108, under: 53.5 -112 | Over 53.5 points combined | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kennesaw State Owls -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 53.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kennesaw State Owls are favored to win, leveraging home advantage, offensive momentum, and overall steadier form.
Predicted Score: Kennesaw State Owls 31 – Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20