Match Analysis: Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, Georgia
Game Overview
Kennesaw State Owls (2-2) host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-3) in a key Conference USA matchup. Kennesaw State is favored both on the moneyline and the spread, with recent form showing the Owls winning their last game while Middle Tennessee suffered a loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kennesaw State is coming off a solid 28-21 win over Arkansas State, showing resilience and improving offense. Middle Tennessee lost 42-28 to Marshall and has struggled, holding a 1-3 record compared to Kennesaw State's 2-2, indicating better recent form for the Owls.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited but Kennesaw State's home advantage and current momentum give them an edge over Middle Tennessee who are struggling on the road.
- No major injuries reported on either side affecting starters significantly, suggesting both teams will field their best available lineups.
- The game is played at Kennesaw Stateβs home stadium, which historically provides a strong home-field advantage. Weather and other external factors are not expected to significantly impact the game.
- Kennesaw State aims to solidify their position early in conference play with a winning record, providing strong motivation. Middle Tennessee looks to avoid deep conference losses, but recent results may impact morale negatively.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -298, away: +240 | Kennesaw State Owls | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | home: -110, away: -110 | Kennesaw State -7.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 53.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Kennesaw State Owls 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 53.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kennesaw State to win straight up and cover the spread with the total going under 53.5 points.
Predicted Score: Kennesaw State 28 – Middle Tennessee 17