Match Analysis: Kennesaw State Owls vs Merrimack Warriors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium
Game Overview
The game features Merrimack Warriors (1-1) visiting Kennesaw State Owls (0-2). Merrimack looks to build on a solid recent win while Kennesaw State struggles with a losing streak and poor spread cover record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Merrimack is 1-1 showing balanced offensive production with QB Ayden Pereira excelling in passing and rushing. Kennesaw State is 0-2, having lost each game recently and failed to cover the spread in 4 of 5 recent non-conference games.
- No recent valuable H2H data found; likely limited direct recent matchups between these teams.
- No significant injury reports available suggesting major player absences for either team at this time.
- Game played at Kennesaw Stateβs home stadium with favorable weather conditions (83Β°F, no rain, mild wind). The home crowd may support Kennesaw but momentum favors Merrimack.
- Merrimack motivated to establish consistency and back-to-back wins; Kennesaw State seeks first season win to halt losing skid but faces pressure on home turf.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -385, away: +300 | Merrimack Warriors | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | home: -10.5 -110, away: +10.5 -110 | Merrimack Warriors +10.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: 44.5 -114, under: 44.5 -106 | Under 44.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Merrimack Warriors 160% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 44.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Merrimack Warriors at 160% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Merrimack to win outright on the moneyline, covering the spread will be challenging, and total points will likely stay under the line.
Predicted Score: Merrimack Warriors 27 – Kennesaw State Owls 17