Match Analysis: Kansas State Wildcats vs UCF Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Game Overview
This American College Football game features the struggling 1-3 Kansas State Wildcats hosting the unbeaten 3-0 UCF Knights. Kansas State is favored by 6.5 points but has shown poor recent form and weak ATS performance, while UCF has momentum and is a live underdog in this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State is currently 1-3 with losses in recent games and a 0-4 ATS streak, including 0-1 ATS on the road. UCF is undefeated at 3-0, coming off a strong start to the season with improving overall team play.
- No recent head-to-head trends strongly favor either side, but UCFβs recent form gives them an edge. Kansas Stateβs defense has struggled allowing high-scoring games, whereas UCFβs offense is productive.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key positions that would drastically change game dynamics.
- Game played at Kansas Stateβs home stadium, Bill Snyder Family Stadium, with favorable weather conditions (74Β°F, no rain, low wind). This should slightly benefit Kansas State.
- UCF seeks to extend their perfect season early in the campaign, which should motivate strong performance. Kansas State looks to rebound from a poor start to avoid continued losses and regain confidence before tougher opponents.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas State -220, UCF +180 | UCF Knights | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Kansas State -6.5 -105, UCF +6.5 -115 | UCF Knights +6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 49.5 -110, Under 49.5 -110 | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas State Wildcats 46% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Kansas State Wildcats at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: UCF Knights to win; Spread: UCF Knights +6.5; Over/Under: Under 49.5 points
Predicted Score: Kansas State 23, UCF 27