Match Analysis: Kansas State Wildcats vs Army Black Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Game Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats (1-1) host the Army Black Knights (0-1) in a Week 2 matchup. Kansas State is a heavy favorite at home, recommended at -17.5 spread and strong moneyline odds. Army enters off a loss and seeks to avoid 0-2 start.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State has shown a balanced offense led by Avery Johnsonβs passing and Joe Jacksonβs rushing, whereas Army relies heavily on a ground game averaging 280 yards per contest but struggled in their opener. Kansas State has yet to cover the spread this season but plays back-to-back home games. Army lost their season opener to an inferior opponent.
- Recent H2H data is limited, but Kansas State's overall superiority in talent and home advantage weigh strongly. Army has shown defensive vulnerabilities allowing 30 points and 344 yards per game.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting positions significantly.
- Weather expected to be clear with 70Β°F and low wind, minimizing environmental impact. Kansas State benefits from familiar home conditions and crowd advantage. Army travels out of conference on first road trip of the season which may affect preparation.
- Army is motivated to avoid an 0-2 start and rebound after a disappointing loss, while Kansas State seeks a statement home win to gain momentum after early season inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas State: -850, Army: 575 | Kansas State | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Kansas State -17.5: -102, Army +17.5: -118 | Kansas State -17.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -105 | Under 46.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas State Wildcats -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 46.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas State to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -17.5 spread, and the game to go under the 46.5 total.
Predicted Score: Kansas State 31 – Army 13