Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Murray State Racers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:07 PM UTC
- Location: AmFirst Stadium
Game Overview
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (1-2) host Murray State Racers (0-3) in a key Conference USA matchup. Jacksonville State shows moderate recent success and strong home advantage while Murray State is struggling severely, winless in 20 straight games, including 36 consecutive losses against the spread and overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jacksonville State is 1-2 overall but 2-1 ATS in last 5 games, with the totals tending to go over in recent outings. Murray State is 0-3 with no wins in last 20 games and poor offensive and defensive metrics.
- No recent direct matchup data available, but trends heavily favor Jacksonville State historically due to Murray State's ongoing losing streaks.
- No significant reported injuries impacting Jacksonville State. Murray State also has no major injury updates, but lack of talent depth appears an issue.
- Game played at Jacksonville Stateβs home stadium with mild weather (82Β°F, 0% rain, light wind), conditions ideal for good offensive production.
- Jacksonville State motivates to snap a modest losing skid in front of home crowd. Murray Stateβs prolonged winless streak may depress motivation and confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Jacksonville State -50000, Murray State +5500 | Jacksonville State | β β β β β 95% |
Spread | Jacksonville State -35.5 -110, Murray State +35.5 -110 | Jacksonville State -35.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | Over 60.5 -110, Under 60.5 -110 | Over 60.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 60.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 60.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to dominate at home, covering the large spread and pushing the total points well over the line
Predicted Score: 56-14