Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Kennesaw State Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville, Alabama
Game Overview
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (6-3) host the Kennesaw State Owls (7-2) in a key conference matchup. Kennesaw State enters as a 3-point road favorite with a slight edge in recent performance and defensive ranking. Jacksonville State offers a slightly more potent offense but weaker defense. The game total is set around 54.5 points, reflecting expectations for a moderately scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kennesaw State has a 7-2 record and a 6-3 ATS record, showing consistent performance and a strong defense ranked 30th nationally in points allowed. Jacksonville State is 6-3 with an inferior 4-5 ATS record and a defense ranked 76th, but a stronger offense ranked 62nd in scoring.
- No recent direct head-to-head matchups available, but Kennesaw Stateβs stronger defensive stats and consistent ATS performance in recent games provide an edge.
- No significant injury reports impacting key players for either team were noted near game time.
- Weather is expected to be mild (61Β°F) with no precipitation and light wind, posing no adverse impact on gameplay or scoring.
- Both teams are motivated to secure a conference win with Kennesaw State defending an advantageous position and Jacksonville State aiming to gain ground, though Kennesaw State's better record suggests higher confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville State +142, Kennesaw State -170 | Kennesaw State | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Jacksonville State +3 -102, Kennesaw State -3 -118 | Kennesaw State -3 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 54.5 -118, Under 54.5 -102 | Under 54.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kennesaw State Owls -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 54.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kennesaw State to win on the moneyline, cover the spread at -3, and the game to go under 54.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Kennesaw State 28, Jacksonville State 21