Match Analysis: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Wembley Stadium, London, England
Game Overview
A critical NFC West vs. AFC South matchup between two 4-2 teams, the Los Angeles Rams and Jacksonville Jaguars face off at Wembley Stadium. The Rams hold a recent dominance in the series and are favorites despite key injury concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams sport identical 4-2 records. The Rams come off a solid 17-3 win at Baltimore with a highly efficient passing offense led by Matthew Stafford, ranked fifth overall by PFF, averaging 8 yards per pass. The Jaguars have a stronger home record (3-1), but their pass rush and secondary have shown vulnerabilities recently, giving up 295 yards against Sam Darnold.
- Los Angeles leads the all-time series 5-1, including victories in their last three meetings.
- Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua is questionable and expected to miss the game due to an ankle injury. No major injuries reported for the Jaguars that drastically affect lineup.
- Neutral site in London removes home-field advantage for Jacksonville. Early kickoff could affect player routines but both teams are professional and expected to adjust.
- Both teams are contending for division leads. Rams are tied atop NFC West, while Jaguars trail Indianapolis by one game in AFC South. Strong motivation for both squads to secure an important divisional victory.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Jacksonville Jaguars: +140, Los Angeles Rams: -166 | Los Angeles Rams | β β β β β 76% |
Spread | Jacksonville Jaguars +3: -105, Los Angeles Rams -3: -115 | Los Angeles Rams -3 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -105 | Under 44.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Rams -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 44.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rams moneyline and Rams -3 spread
Predicted Score: Rams 23 – Jaguars 17