Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs BYU Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Jack Trice Stadium, Iowa State
Game Overview
No. 15 BYU Cougars (7-0, 4-0 Big 12) visit Iowa State Cyclones (5-2, 2-2 Big 12) in a key Week 9 Big 12 matchup at Jack Trice Stadium. BYU is undefeated and strong on the road, while Iowa State has a solid home record and is favored by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- BYU has won all 7 games this season including a 4-0 conference record and demonstrates strong second-quarter performance (+8.1 average point differential). Iowa State is 5-2 with a 2-2 conference record, coming off mixed results as favorites against ranked teams.
- Limited recent H2H info; Iowa State has historically struggled to cover spreads against top-15 AP teams despite home advantage. BYU excels covering spreads as underdogs with an 8-1 record recently.
- No major injuries reported for either team leading into the game.
- Game at Iowa State's stadium where home team has covered last 4 spreads and 4 games under total points line against top-15 teams. BYU's strong road resilience and offensive rush leader in LJ Martin are notable factors.
- BYU is undefeated and motivated to maintain perfect season and conference lead. Iowa State seeks to establish better consistency in Big 12 play and leverage home crowd advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | BYU Cougars: +124, Iowa State Cyclones: -148 | Iowa State Cyclones | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | BYU Cougars +2.5: -102, Iowa State Cyclones -2.5: -118 | Iowa State Cyclones -2.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
| Over/under | Over 48.5: -112, Under 48.5: -108 | Over 48.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa State Cyclones -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 48.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Iowa State Cyclones to win; Spread: Iowa State -2.5; Over/Under: Over 48.5
Predicted Score: Iowa State 29 – BYU 24