Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers (10-0, 7-0 Big Ten) host the Wisconsin Badgers (3-6, 1-5 Big Ten) in a Big Ten matchup. Indiana is highly ranked (No. 2 nationally) and has one of the top rushing offenses, while Wisconsin struggles offensively, ranking near the bottom nationally. Indiana is a dominant favorite, with a massive point spread and heavy moneyline odds favoring them.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana has a strong 10-0 record with a top-10 rushing attack and solid defense. Wisconsin has struggled this season with a weak total offense (ranked 133rd out of 134 teams) and poor performance against top opponents. Indiana has won 6 games against the spread and failed 4 times, while Wisconsin stands 4-5 against the spread.
- Recent matchups have shown Indiana dominance, reflected in large spreads (around 29.5 to 30.5 points). Historical performance and current form heavily favor the Hoosiers, who survived a close call in their previous game and look motivated to avoid setbacks.
- No specific injury information was provided in the search results, suggesting no major injuries reported that could affect key players for either team as of now.
- The game is played at Indiana's home stadium, Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, which favors the Hoosiers. Weather and other environmental conditions were not mentioned, indicating no significant external concerns.
- Indiana is vying for a national title and a Big Ten Conference title game against Ohio State, driving high motivation. Wisconsin has minimal motivation given their poor record, despite a recent conference win, but they are expected to be overwhelmed by Indianaโs strength.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers: -10000, Wisconsin Badgers: 2500 | Indiana Hoosiers win | โ โ โ โ โ 99% |
| Spread | Indiana Hoosiers: -29.5 (-110), Wisconsin Badgers: 29.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers cover -29.5 spread | High confidence; experts suggest Indiana wins by around 30 points |
| Over/under | Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -105 | Over 43.5 points | Moderate to high confidence, with expected combined score around 45 points |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 43.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 43.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana Hoosiers are heavily favored to win with a large margin. The prediction is Indiana 40, Wisconsin 5 per data-driven models and expert consensus.
Predicted Score: Indiana Hoosiers 40, Wisconsin Badgers 5