Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Indiana
Game Overview
No. 2 Indiana Hoosiers (10-0) host the Wisconsin Badgers (3-6) in a Big Ten matchup. Indiana enters undefeated and ranked second nationally, while Wisconsin seeks to build on a recent upset victory over Washington. This is a massive mismatch on paper, with Indiana heavy favorites across all markets.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana boasts the nation's top-ranked offense (44.5 PPG) and third-ranked defense (12.1 PPG allowed). The Hoosiers rank 9th in rushing attack and 6th in rushing defense. Wisconsin's offense ranks 135th in points per game (12.6 PPG) with a 25th-ranked rushing defense. Indiana has covered the spread 6 times against 4 failures. Wisconsin sits at 4-5 against the spread this season.
- No recent head-to-head data available in search results. Historical context suggests Ohio State defeated Wisconsin 34-0, which provides a benchmark for dominant teams against the Badgers.
- No injury information provided in available search results.
- Indiana nearly lost to Penn State last week in a dramatic comeback, requiring them to stay focused. Wisconsin's win over Washington was a notable upset at home, though playing in Bloomington presents a different challenge. Indiana is motivated to avoid drama and establish dominance after the close call.
- Indiana is on a collision course with Ohio State in the Big Ten title game and cannot afford losses. The team is likely motivated to establish a statement win after narrowly escaping Penn State. Wisconsin has minimal pressure with a 3-6 record but may carry confidence from their Washington upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana -10000 / Wisconsin +2500 | Indiana Hoosiers | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | Indiana -29.5 -110 | Indiana -29.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 43.5 -115 / Under 43.5 -105 | Under 43.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Indiana Hoosiers at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana dominates both sides of the ball against an overmatched Wisconsin team. The Hoosiers will control the game from start to finish, establishing their rushing attack early and forcing Wisconsin into a one-dimensional passing game. Indiana covers a large spread and scores decisively.
Predicted Score: Indiana 38, Wisconsin 7