Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers, coming off an 11-2 season with a strong playoff showing, face the Old Dominion Monarchs, who finished 5-7 last season. Indiana is heavily favored at home with a strong defensive and offensive record, while Old Dominion will try to prove doubters wrong as underdogs. The matchup features Indiana's top-ranked offense and defense against Old Dominion's more modest stats, with the game expected to be high-scoring based on the 54.5 total points set by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana averaged 41.3 points per game and allowed only 15.6 last season, ranking them among the top collegiate teams offensively and defensively. Old Dominion scored 28 points per game and allowed 28, reflecting an average offense but less robust defense. Indiana's potent offense contrasts with Old Dominion's less consistent performance.
- There is no detailed recent head-to-head matchup data, but historical team strength and season performance heavily favor Indiana.
- No significant injuries reported currently for either team that could alter expected performances.
- The game will be played at Indiana's home Memorial Stadium under favorable weather conditions (74ยฐF, 0% rain, light wind). Indiana also benefit from home-field advantage and significant betting volume supporting them.
- Indiana looks to build on last seasonโs playoff appearance, maintaining their top-20 status and dominance, while Old Dominion aims to upset a highly ranked team and improve upon last year's losing record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers: -2800, Old Dominion Monarchs: 1300 | Indiana Hoosiers to win | โ โ โ โ โ 90% |
| Spread | Indiana Hoosiers: -23.5 -115, Old Dominion Monarchs: +23.5 -105 | Indiana Hoosiers to cover the -23.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 54.5 -110, Under: 54.5 -110 | Over 54.5 points scored | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 54.5 15% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana is predicted to win decisively with a strong probability. The large spread and moneyline odds reflect expectations of Indiana controlling the game on both sides of the ball.
Predicted Score: Indiana Hoosiers 38, Old Dominion Monarchs 17