Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan State Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Indiana
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers (6-0, 3-0 Big Ten) host the Michigan State Spartans (3-3, 0-3 Big Ten) in a Big Ten matchup. Indiana is clearly the dominant team undefeated this season, while Michigan State is struggling with a middling .500 record and winless in conference play.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana is undefeated at 6-0 and 3-0 in the Big Ten, showing strong overall and conference form. Michigan State is 3-3 overall and 0-3 in conference, showing clear struggles in recent games.
- Indiana has a strong recent edge and is favored by a very large spread (27.5 points), indicating expectations of a blowout against Michigan State.
- No significant injury information provided that could impact either side notably at this time.
- Game is at Indiana’s home venue, providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other external conditions have not been noted as impacting.
- Indiana is motivated to maintain an undefeated season and improve conference standing, while Michigan State is under pressure to break its conference losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Indiana: -4500, Michigan State: +1600 | Indiana | ★★★★★ 92% |
Spread | Indiana -27.5 (-105), Michigan State +27.5 (-115) | Indiana to cover -27.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 (-105), Under 51.5 (-115) | Under 51.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana to win convincingly, covering the large spread, with the game likely staying close to the projected total points.
Predicted Score: Indiana 38 – Michigan State 10